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An easy game for Manchester City?

2024-02-27

比赛分析

英足总杯

已完赛

星期三2024-02-28 04:00

解读理由

There will be a huge rotation in both sides but I see Manchester City with a much better squad to make a strong performance, even with reserves.

Newly promoted side Luton is struggling in the Premier League, sitting in relegation and 4 points below (and one less game) the safe zone. But this is the position where they expected to be, as they have the worst squad in the whole league according to their value (101MM Euros).

In the previous round they were lucky, beating Everton (1:2) scoring the winning goal at 96’, playing with a mixed squad.

For this fixture the home side will be without the services of Tom Lockyer (cardiac issues) and Marvelous Nakamba (knee) until the end of the season. Alfie Doughty is expected to return from his knock here. Albert Sambi Lokonga, Jacob Brown, and Mads Andersen are long-term absentees. They are sidelined with knee, thigh and calf injuries respectively. Elijah Adebayo misses out with a thigh problem.

On the other hand, Manchester City is in great form, unbeaten since December and playing very well. They are title contenders in this tournament, as did last season beating United in the final.

In the previous round they beat Tottenham 0:1, where they generated 2.19 expected goals, had one goal disallowed by VAR, and conceded just 0.25 expected goals, as Tottenham made only one shot during the whole game. If they make the same performance here, they should beat Luton by 3-4 goals easily.

They will make changes in the lineup, but top players like Kevin De Bruyne will be fit from the start, as he was a late sub in the last game against Bournemouth.

Phil Foden will be reserved but will be well replaced by Julian Alvarez, whilst Haaland is set to keep his place.

The away side are in outstanding form right now, and they are full of confidence and momentum. Manchester City should be able to field a strong team against Luton Town, and they will be the overwhelming favourites to win.

The Hatters will look to put up a fight in front of the home fans, but the gulf in class between the two sides is significant and they are likely to fall short here. A comprehensive away victory is on the cards here. I expect Manchester City to dominate the game with +60-65% possession, and conceding very few chances to Luton.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

双方都将有很大的轮换,但我认为曼城的阵容要好得多,即使有预备队也会有出色的表现。

新升官的卢顿在英超苦苦挣扎,目前处于降级状态,距离安全地带还差4分(少一场比赛)。但这是他们所期望的位置,因为按照他们的价值(1.01亿欧元),他们的阵容是整个联赛中最差的。

在上一轮比赛中,他们很幸运,在96分时击败埃弗顿(1:2)打进致胜球,当时他们的阵容是混合的。

在本场比赛中,主队在赛季结束前都将缺阵汤姆·洛克耶(心脏问题)和纳坎巴(膝盖问题)。阿尔菲·道蒂应该会从这里被撞回来。Albert Sambi Lokonga, Jacob Brown和Mads Andersen长期缺阵。他们分别因膝盖、大腿和小腿受伤而缺阵。伊莱贾·阿德巴约因大腿伤势将缺席比赛。

另一方面,曼城状态很好,自去年12月以来保持不败,踢得很好。他们是这项赛事的冠军争夺者,就像上赛季在决赛中击败曼联一样。

在上一轮比赛中,他们0:1击败热刺,他们产生了2.19个预期进球,有一个进球被VAR吹掉,只有0.25个预期进球,因为热刺全场只有一次射门。如果他们在这里有同样的表现,他们应该以3-4的比分轻松击败卢顿。

他们将对阵容进行调整,但像凯文·德布鲁因这样的顶级球员将从首发开始,因为他在上一场对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛中替补出场。

菲尔-福登将被保留,但将由朱利安-阿尔瓦雷斯取代,而哈兰德将保留他的位置。

客场现在的状态很好,他们充满了信心和动力。曼城应该能够派出一支强大的球队对阵卢顿城,他们将是获胜的最大热门。

制帽人希望在主场球迷面前展开一场战斗,但两队之间的阶级差距是巨大的,他们很可能在这里做不到。一场全面的客场胜利近在眼前。我预计曼城会以60-65%的控球率统治比赛,并且很少给卢顿机会。

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