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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Very good bet from Bundesliga 2 today

2021-05-09

比赛分析

德乙

已完赛

星期日2021-05-09 19:30

解读理由

In my opinion Bochum is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make 3 points.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Bochum 2:0 away win, they have good mental advantage today.

Bochum have huge motivation to win this game, they needs 3 points to get automatic promotion and avoid play off match. Bochum manager Thomas Reis said: ''Every game brings with it a pressure situation. We have everything in our own hands. The team is highly concentrated. We want to get three points, then we are definitely in the top three. That is the primary goal for Sunday." On the other hand Jahn is on pretty safe position and they needs only 2 points in last 4 matches to avoid relegation. Of course, they will play for win, but for sure they will give the ball for Bochum and will wait for something to happen.

That could be very problematic for guests. I expect full dominance from Bochum in the middle as they are one of the best team with ball in whole league (57.6% average ball possession, 368.4 accurate passes per game). Jahn is one of the worst team with the ball in Bundesliga 2 - only 266 accurate passes per game (third-worse league result). Bochum should be able to create a lot of chances to score.

Bochum have 5.1 shots on target per game and they should have even bigger number today because Jahn have serious squad problems in defensive formation. Two central defenders which played in their last match against Hamburg are injured (Elvedi and Kennedy). This is huge blow for the team. Jahn defensive formation doesn't looked good in last weeks - they conceded at least one goal in 8 of last 9 matches and today problem should be even bigger to keep clean sheet.

Bochum is much better team with overall and I believe they are able to score more than one goal today (they scored more than one in 4 of last 6 matches) against depleted Jahn defensive formation. That should be enough to grab 3 points.


在我看来,波鸿显然是今天比赛赢球的热门,他们应该可以拿到3分。

两支球队之间的赛季首场比赛以波鸿2:0获胜,今天他们拥有良好的心理优势。

波鸿(Bochum)这场比赛有巨大的动力赢球,他们需要3分才能拿到自动升级的名额,避免进入附加赛。波鸿(Bochum)主教练托马斯·里斯(Thomas Reis)表示:“每场比赛都会带来压力。我们拥有一切。球队高度集中。我们想获得三分,我们肯定在前三名。赢球这是的主要目标。”另一方面,雷根斯堡(Jahn)处于相当安全的位置,他们在最近4场比赛中只需要2分即可避免降级。他们当然也会努力赢球,但可以肯定的是,他们会把球权给对方对于波鸿(Bochum),等待反击的机会。

对于客队来说,这可能是个很大的问题。我预测波鸿能够在比赛中占据主导地位,因为他们是联赛中控球最好的球队之一(平均57.6%的控球率,每场准确传球368.4次)。雷根斯堡(Jahn)是德乙级球队中控球表现最差的球队之一-场均只有266次准确传球(联赛成绩第三差)。波鸿应该能够创造很多得分机会。

波鸿每场比赛有5.1球射正目标,今天他们应该有更多的射门机会,因为雷根斯堡(Jahn)在防守阵型上存在严重的阵容问题。在上一场对阵汉堡的比赛中,两名中后卫受伤(埃尔维迪和肯尼迪)。对于球队来说这是巨大的打击。雷根斯堡(Jahn)的防守最近几周表现不佳-他们在过去9场比赛中有8场至少有失球,而今天想要零封难度更大。

波鸿在整体上是更好的球队,我相信他们在对阵雷根斯堡的防线时至少可以打进超过一个球(他们在过去6场比赛中有4场得分超过1球)。这应该足以帮助他们夺取3分。

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