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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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STRONG results in this league! $$$

2024-02-26

比赛分析

主队伊斯坦堡士邦LOGO

伊斯坦堡士邦

土超

已完赛

星期一2024-02-26 00:00

客队贝西克塔LOGO

贝西克塔

解读理由


İstanbulspor VS Besiktas JK


İstanbulspor welcome Besiktas for this Turkish Super Lig round 27 battle at Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu in Istanbul very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is clearly better than on average on the planet but it is still far from the level of the top-5 European leagues. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much lower than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very promising game to bet on here! There is no doubt about the fact that Besiktas are the better team here. The key question when analysing this match is how much stronger than Istanbulspor they are.. Besiktas currently occupy the 4th place in the league table. They have a decent 40 points to their account. However, they are a whopping 27 points behind Fenerbahce who currently top the standings. Besiktas's number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly lower – 38.87 to be precise. Furthermore, their goal difference is not very impressive for a top-4. They have netted the ball 37 times in this league and have conceded 31 goals. Their number of expected goals is 34.52 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 36.96. Besiktas have not been in that strong form lately. Indeed, they have won only three of their last seven matches. In their most recent game they Konyaspor 2-0 at home as very clear favourites - priced around 1.50 to win on the betting market. Yes, they did deserve the three points but didn't fully convince me as a whole. They had only 52% ball possession and recorded only moderately more attacks and dangerous attacks – 43-36. They did however generate 1.40 in xG – the visitors' number was 0.40

Before defeating Konyaspor, Besiktas faced Kayserispor away from home as very clear favourites according to the bookmakers – priced around 1.85-1.90 to win. No goals were scored in this class but the hosts were the much better team and Besiktas were somewhat disappointing – once again. The hosts had 53% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-6), shots on goal (4-1), shots off target (6-2), corner kicks, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. They also generated 1.24 in xG – Besiktas managed only 0.19! Before this they played a decent game, beating Antalyaspor 2-1 away from home in a cup game. However in round 24 they failed to impress me despite beating Trabzonspor 2-0 at home as clear favorites. The visitors had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (13-9), shots off target (8-3), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 55-33.Istanbulspor, on the other hand, are having a very disappointing season - especially in terms of results. Last season they finished in 12th place with a decent 41 points in their pocket. They currently occupy the 20th place in the league table. They have only 12 points to their account, but three points were deducted from them by federation decision. I need to mention their number of xPTS is massively bigger! They should have the potential to do much better but will be relegated at the end of the season. Even so, they will surely try their best against a big club like Besiktas and have a good chance of not losing by a margin of more than one goal! The Istanbulspor +1.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here. In their last game the hosts faced Antalyaspor away from home as huge underdogs – priced around 8.00 to win by the bookies. They played a good game and even recorded more shots on goal. They also had 51% ball possession and generated more in xG – 2.34-1.67 to be precise. I was impressed with their fighting spirit as they were trailing 0-2 after the first half. However, Gedikli and Laurentino (90+9 minutes) scored the goals to level the score 2-2.



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İstanbulspor VS贝西克塔斯JK


İstanbulspor欢迎贝西克塔斯参加北京时间周二凌晨在伊斯坦布尔举行的第27轮土超联赛Kadıoğlu球场之战。这个联赛的水平显然比这个星球上的平均水平要好,但与欧洲五大联赛的水平还有很大的差距。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场远低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有另一个非常有前途的游戏在这里下注!毫无疑问,贝西克塔斯在这里是一支更好的球队。分析这场比赛的关键问题是他们比伊斯坦布尔队强多少。贝西克塔斯目前在联赛中排名第四。他们的账户上有相当可观的40分。然而,他们与目前排名第一的费内巴切相差27分。贝西克塔斯的预期点数(xPTS)显然更低,准确地说是38.87。此外,他们的净胜球对于前四名来说也不是很可观。他们在联赛中取得了37次进球,丢了31个球。他们的预期进球数是34.52,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是36.96。贝西克塔斯最近的状态不太好。事实上,他们在最近七场比赛中只赢了三场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场2-0是非常明显的热门,在博彩市场上的价格约为1.50英镑。是的,他们确实应该得到三分,但并没有完全说服我。他们只有52%的控球率,43胜36负的进攻和危险进攻也只多了一些。然而,他们在xG中确实产生了1.40 -访客人数为0.40

在击败科尼亚斯波尔之前,贝西克塔斯在客场面对开塞利斯波尔,根据博彩公司的说法,这是一个非常明显的夺冠热门,赔率约为1.85-1.90。本场比赛没有进球,但东道主的表现要好得多,贝西克塔斯的表现又一次让人失望。东道主拥有53%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(14胜6负)、射正(4胜1负)、射偏(6胜2负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻。他们在xG也产生了1.24,而贝西克塔斯只产生了0.19!在此之前,他们打了一场不错的比赛,在一场杯赛中客场2-1击败了安塔利亚斯波尔。然而在第24轮的比赛中,他们没有给我留下深刻的印象,尽管他们在主场2-0击败了特拉布宗斯波。客队的控球率为55%,进球次数(13比9)、射偏(8比3)、角球、进攻和危险进攻(55比33)也更多。另一方面,伊斯坦布尔正经历着一个非常令人失望的赛季——尤其是在结果方面。上赛季他们以41分的成绩排在第12位。他们目前在联赛中排名第20位。他们的账户上只有12分,但联合会决定从他们身上扣去3分。我需要提到的是,他们的xPTS数量要大得多!他们应该有潜力做得更好,但将在本赛季结束后降级。即便如此,面对贝西克塔斯这样的豪门,他们肯定会尽最大努力,并且很有可能不以超过一球的差距输掉比赛!伊斯坦布尔队+1.5球显然是明智的赌注。在他们的上一场比赛中,东道主客场面对安塔利亚斯波尔,他们是一个巨大的失败者,博彩公司的胜率约为8英镑。他们踢得很好,甚至射门次数也更多。他们也有51%的控球率,并且在xG(2.34-1.67)上产生了更多的进球。我对他们的战斗精神印象深刻,因为他们在上半场0-2落后。但是,格迪克利和劳伦蒂诺(90+9分钟)的进球将比分扳成2比2。

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