In my opinion Sevilla have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match. +1.5 AH on away side looks like great option to play.

In last 9 matches between both teams only one time Real Madrid won with more than one goal difference.

Obviously, Real Madrid is top class team with superb consistency, but at this stage of the season the most important thing is to win the game, not the size of the win. In last 8 matches in all competitions Real Madrid only two times won with more than one goal difference. In last round they failed to win on the road against Rayo Vallecano. Match finished with draw 1:1 and that was fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Rayo 1.12, for Real 1.16. I don't expect spectacular performance also today. Real Madrid have serious squad problems, they are without first goalkeeper Courtois, defenders Militao, Alaba & Carvajal, midfielder Camavinga, best player (according to the ratings) Bellingham and second-best scorer Joselu (scored in last round against Rayo). That should have very bad impact on hosts performance.

On the other hand, Sevilla improving in last matches, no doubt about that. It's visible by results team slowly recovering and moving in good direction. Sevilla went unbeaten in last 4 consecutive matches (2 wins and 2 draws). In last games they showed good consistency at the back as they kept two clean sheets in a row. For sure they have huge motivation to extend great streak and to show up against the strongest Spanish team on their ground.

+1.5 AH on Sevilla is my bet here.

在我看来，塞维利亚在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免大败。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

在两队最近的9场比赛中，只有一次皇马以1球以上的差距取胜。

很明显，皇马是一支顶级球队，有着出色的稳定性，但在赛季的这个阶段，最重要的是赢得比赛，而不是胜利的大小。在各项赛事的最后8场比赛中，皇马只有2场胜率超过1个净胜球。上一轮，他们未能在客场战胜巴列卡诺。比赛以1:1结束，这是一个完全应得的结果:预期进球为雷约1.12，为皇马1.16。我不期望今天也有精彩的表现。皇马有严重的阵容问题，他们没有第一门将库尔图瓦，后卫米利托奥，阿拉巴和卡瓦哈尔，中场卡马文加，最佳球员(根据评分)贝灵汉和第二最佳射手何塞卢(在上一轮对阵拉约时进球)。这会对主机的性能产生非常坏的影响。

另一方面，塞维利亚在最近几场比赛中有所进步，这是毫无疑问的。从结果可以看出，团队正在慢慢恢复，并朝着良好的方向前进。塞维利亚最近4场比赛保持不败(2胜2平)。在上几场比赛中，他们在后防线上表现出了良好的稳定性，他们连续两场不失球。可以肯定的是，他们有巨大的动力去延续他们的连胜，并在他们的主场迎战最强的西班牙队。

我赌塞维利亚+1.5 AH。