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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Inter will win with HHDA (-1) or no?

2024-02-25

比赛分析

主队莱切LOGO

莱切

意甲

已完赛

星期一2024-02-26 01:00

客队国际米兰LOGO

国际米兰

解读理由

In my opinion Inter is clear favorite of this game and should be able to win comfortably with at least two goals difference. -1.5 AH on home side looks like very good option to play.


Both teams played each other at the end of December, Inter won 2:0 at home and I expect similar scoreline today.


Lecce hasn't played well since that game. They earned only four points & six losses in eight matches. Lecce has difficulties on both ends of the pitch. They have had major issues with finishing product, failing to score in five of their last eight encounters. There is no stability or consistency at the defense, with more than one goal conceded in the last five consecutive league games. According to the expected goals conceded model, only three teams in the entire Serie A perform worse than Lecce in the back. It's difficult to imagine significant improvement now. There are two fresh absences from the last round: two crucial defenders (Pongracic and Dorgu) are absent today. It is a major setback that will undoubtedly have a negative impact on the hosts' defensive play.


Inter is in incredible form, and they are currently one of Europe's top teams. 9 consecutive wins in all competitions. At both ends of the pitch, the quality is exceptional. Inter is rock solid at the back, with six clean sheets in the last seven games. During that run, they faced formidable opponents such as Lazio, Napoli, Juventus, Fiorentina, and Atletico Madrid. On the other side, firepower in an attack is enormous. They scored 4 goals against Roma and 4 against Salernitana. They scored once against Atletico on Tuesday, but the expected goals scored model predicted that they would score 2.30. Inter simply has the quality to dismantle Lecce's defensive structure.


I see minimum two goals for guests and routine win.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,国米显然是这场比赛的热门,他们应该能够以至少两球的差距轻松取胜。主场1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。


两支球队在12月底交手过,国米在主场2:0取胜,我预计今天的比分也差不多。


自从那场比赛以来,莱切一直打得不好。他们在8场比赛中只得到4分6负。莱切在球场两端都有困难。他们在最后一场比赛中有很大的问题,在最近的8场比赛中有5场没有进球。防守不稳定,连续5场联赛丢1球以上。根据预期失球模型,在整个意甲联赛中,只有三支球队的后防线表现不如莱切。现在很难想象会有显著的改善。上一轮又有两名球员缺席:两名关键后卫(庞格拉西奇和多尔古)今天缺阵。这是一个重大的挫折,无疑会对东道主的防守产生负面影响。


国米的状态令人难以置信,他们现在是欧洲顶级球队之一。各项赛事9连胜。在球场的两端,质量是非凡的。国米在后防线上坚如磐石,在过去的7场比赛中有6场零封对手。在那场比赛中,他们面对的是拉齐奥、那不勒斯、尤文图斯、佛罗伦萨和马德里竞技等强大对手。另一方面,进攻时的火力是巨大的。他们在对阵罗马的比赛中打入4球,在对阵萨勒尼塔纳的比赛中打入4球。他们在周二对阵马竞的比赛中进了一球,但预期进球模型预测他们将进2.30球。国米完全有能力摧毁莱切的防守结构。


我看到至少两个进球的客人和例行胜利。

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