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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting game to bet on!

2024-02-24

比赛分析

德乙

已完赛

星期六2024-02-24 01:30

解读理由

Holstein Kiel VS FC St. Pauli


Holstein Kiel welcome St. Pauli for this German 2. Bundesliga round 23 battle at Holstein-Stadion very early Saturday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of very high level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting match to bet on here! Both teams are playing a strong season so far. I have been positively surprised by both teams' performances. In my in-depth preseason analysis I did not have them as the top-2 teams... Last season St. Pauli ended up in 5th place – the hosts, on the other hand, finished in 8th place. Holstein Kiel currently occupy the second place in the standings with an impressive 42 points to their account. They have netted the ball 41 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is a little lower. Holstein Kiel have allowed 28 goals and their number of expected goals (xGA) is 29.67. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 39.66. St. Pauli top the standings but they, too, have been lucky in terms of xG, xGA and xPTS. Their score difference is 39:19.

The visitors have a small edge over Holstein Kiel in all areas of the game. However, we must give the substantial home advantage enough emphasis here! Taking this factor – with the expected lineups – I see this match as a coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favourite. The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits see St. Pauli as solid favourites – offering them odds of around 2.25 to take all three points. The hosts +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! According to a well-known and respected German website the teams are equal. Both teams' squads are valued at slightly below 30 million euros. The hosts have taken two wins and one draw in their last three games. The visitors have taken two wins and have suffered one defeat. In their last game Kiel crushed Paderborn 4-0 on the road as narrow underdogs according to the bookies! They did deserve the win as they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as generated much more in xG – 2.34-0.87. It was a great performance as a whole!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

荷尔斯泰因基尔VS圣保利FC


荷尔斯泰因基尔欢迎圣保利参加这个德国2。北京时间周六凌晨,德甲第23轮比赛将在荷尔斯泰因球场打响。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准非常高水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一场非常有趣的比赛可以下注!到目前为止,这两个队都打得很好。我对两支球队的表现感到非常惊讶。在我的季前赛深入分析中,我没有把他们列入前两名……上个赛季,圣保利排在第五位,而东道主则排在第八位。荷尔斯泰因-基尔目前以42分的成绩排在积分榜第二位。他们有41次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)略低。荷尔斯泰因基尔队丢了28个球,他们的预期进球数(xGA)为29.67个。他们的期望值(xPTS)为39.66。圣保利排名第一,但他们在xG、xGA和xPTS方面也很幸运。他们的比分差是39:19。

客队在比赛的各个方面都比荷尔斯泰因基尔队有一点优势。然而,我们必须在这里给予实质性的主场优势足够的重视!考虑到这个因素,加上预期的阵容,我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样,是一场50/50的比赛,没有真正的最爱。拥有最大赌注限额的最大博彩公司认为圣保利是最受欢迎的球队,他们开出2.25左右的赔率来获得全部三分。东道主+0.5个进球的劣势显然是明智的赌注!根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站,两支球队是平等的。两支球队的身价都略低于3000万欧元。东道主在最近三场比赛中取得了两胜一平的战绩。客队两胜一负。在他们的上一场比赛中,基尔队在客场4-0击败了帕德伯恩队,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是微弱的劣势!他们确实应该赢得这场胜利,因为他们有更多的射门次数和射门次数,并且在xG - 2.34-0.87的数据中产生了更多的进球。这是一个伟大的表演作为一个整体!

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