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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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9/7 in my last Championship bets

2024-02-23

比赛分析

主队利兹联LOGO

利兹联

英冠

已完赛

星期六2024-02-24 04:00

客队莱切斯特LOGO

莱切斯特

解读理由

Leicester, in my opinion, has excellent prospects of picking up at least one point in today's encounter.


Overall, Leicester has a very good record against Leeds, having not lost in 13 of their last 17 matches.


Leicester and Leeds are the top two teams in the Championship, but Leicester leads the table by nine points. In those situations, the weight is on the hosts because Ipswich also has 69 points, with Southampton only two points behind Leeds. There's no space for error. This arrangement is advantageous to guests.


Small margins between both teams, Leicester is better in offense according to the expected goals scored model, Leeds is better in defense according to the expected goals conceded model.


Despite the worse result, for me Leicester looked better in previous round. Leicester played at home against Middlesbrough and lost 1:2, but that wasn't deserved result at all. Leicester had 2.12 expected goals scored, Middlesbrough 1.04. Now team have huge motivation to bounce back on good track in this prestigious game.


On the other hand, Leeds won 1:0 on the road against solid Plymouth, but that was a bit lucky. That was very close game: expected goals scored for Leeds 0.95, for Plymouth 0.90.


Leeds today is without two key defenders: Byram (25 matches) & Struijk (23 matches). That should be very problematic against Leicester offensive formation. Guests have big firepower - they scored at least one goal in last 19 consecutive matches in all competitions. During that run 14 times they scored more than one goal.


I see minimum at least one goal for Leicester and also at least one point at the end of the day.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,莱斯特城很有希望在今天的比赛中至少拿到一分。


总的来说,莱斯特城对利兹的战绩非常好,在过去的17场比赛中有13场没有输球。


莱斯特城和利兹城是英冠排名前两的球队,但莱斯特城领先9分。在这种情况下,主队的压力就在伊普斯维奇身上,因为伊普斯维奇也有69分,而南安普顿只落后利兹2分。没有犯错的余地。这种安排对客人是有利的。


两队之间的差距很小,根据预期进球模型,莱斯特城在进攻方面更胜一筹,根据预期失球模型,利兹城在防守方面更胜一筹。


尽管结果更糟,但对我来说,莱斯特城在上一轮看起来更好。莱斯特城主场对阵米德尔斯堡,以1:2的比分输掉了比赛,但这样的结果根本不值得。莱斯特城预期进球数为2.12,米德尔斯堡为1.04。现在球队有巨大的动力在这场著名的比赛中恢复到良好的轨道上。


另一方面,利兹在客场1:0战胜了实力强大的普利茅斯,但这有点幸运。这是一场非常接近的比赛:利兹的预期进球数为0.95,普利茅斯为0.90。


利兹今天缺少两名关键后卫:拜拉姆(25场比赛)和斯特鲁伊克(23场比赛)。面对莱斯特城的进攻阵型,这将是一个很大的问题。客队火力强大——他们在各项赛事中连续19场比赛至少打进1球。在这段时间里,他们有14次进了不止一个球。


我认为莱斯特城至少能进一个球,在比赛结束时至少能得一分。

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