Besiktas JK VS Konyaspor

Besiktas welcome Konyaspor for this Turkish Super Lig round 26 battle at Tupras Stadium in Istanbul very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is much better than on average in the world but it is still far from the level of the top-5 European leagues. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much better than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very promising game to bet on here! We have won six of the last seven picks betting on the Turkish Lig. There is no doubt about the fact that Besiktas are the better team here. The key question when analysing this game is how much stronger than Konyaspor they are.. Besiktas currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have a decent 40 points to their account. However, they are a whopping 29 points behind Galatasaray who currently top the standings. Besiktas's number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly lower – 36.45 to be precise. Their goal difference is not very impressive for a top-4. They have netted the ball 35 times in this league and have conceded 31 goals. Their number of expected goals is 33.12 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 34.56. Besiktas have not been in strong form lately. Indeed, they have won only two of their last matches. In their most recent game they faced Kayserispor away from home as very clear favourites according to the bookies – priced around 1.85 to win. No goals were scored but the hosts were the much better team and Besiktas were disappointing – once again. The hosts had 53% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-6), shots on goal (4-1), shots off target (6-2), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated 1.24 in xG – Besiktas managed only 0.19! Before this they were okay, beating Antalyaspor 2-1 away from home in a cup game. However in round 24 they were not impressive despite beating Trabzonspor 2-0 at home as clear favorites. The visitors had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (13-9), shots off target (8-3), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 55-33.

Konyaspor, on the other hand, are having a disappointing season, especially in terms of results. Last season they finished in 8th place with a fine 51 points in their pocket. They currently occupy the 19th place in the league table. They have only 25 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly higher though – 29.88 to be precise. Their goal difference is not great but is very misleading. They have netted the ball 34 times in this league and have conceded 337 goals. Their number of expected goals is 33.12 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 34.56. Their offense has been a clear disappointment - no denying that. They have lacked speed and creativity but can certainly improve especially in this area of the game. The Besiktas defence is so vulnerable that I would not be shocked to see the visitors score more than once here.. I do trust their coach to find ways to hurt the hosts' defence here. Konyaspor have improved a lot lately – losing just one of their last eight games. They have now won two games in a row and their level of confidence seems to be okay. In their last game they defeated Ankaragucu 1-0 at home and deserved the three points. They recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in xG – 0.96-0.44. Before this they also deserved to win – this time over Sivasspor – away from home 1-0 in a cup clash. They recorded more goal attempts (14-6), shots on target, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks than the hosts. They were narrow underdogs on the betting market and I liked their performance a lot. Besiktas are missing Ghezzai, Hadziahmetovic, Rashica, Uca and Uzunhan. Kilic is questionable. Konyaspor will be without Moreno. The hosts deserve to be the favourites here but the current odds of around 1.50 offered by the biggest bookies are way too low. Based on my sophisticated analysis they have a 53.50% chance of winning. We will take the Konyaspor +1.5 goals handicap option with 73.50% chance of winning!

贝西克塔斯JK VS科尼亚斯波尔

北京时间周二凌晨，贝西克塔斯将在伊斯坦布尔的图普拉斯球场迎来土耳其超级联赛第26轮对阵科尼亚斯波尔的比赛。这个联赛的水平比世界平均水平要好得多，但与欧洲五大联赛的水平还有很大差距。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比平均水平好得多的比赛。最重要的是，我们有另一个非常有前途的游戏在这里下注!我们赢了最近7次土耳其联赛中的6次。毫无疑问，贝西克塔斯在这里是一支更好的球队。分析这款游戏的关键问题是他们比Konyaspor强多少。贝西克塔斯目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们的账户上有相当可观的40分。然而，他们与目前排名第一的加拉塔萨雷相差29分。贝西克塔斯的预期点数(xPTS)显然更低，准确地说是36.45。他们的净胜球对于前四名来说并不是很可观。他们在联赛中取得了35次进球，丢了31个球。他们的预期进球数是33.12，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是34.56。贝西克塔斯最近状态不佳。事实上，他们在最近的比赛中只赢了两场。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场面对开塞利斯波尔，根据博彩公司的预测，他们的夺冠概率在1.85左右。虽然没有进球，但东道主的表现要好得多，贝西克塔斯的表现又一次令人失望。东道主拥有53%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(14胜6负)、射正(4胜1负)、射偏(6胜2负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻。他们在xG也产生了1.24，而贝西克塔斯只产生了0.19!在此之前，他们还不错，在一场杯赛中客场2-1击败了安塔利亚斯波尔。然而，在第24轮，尽管他们在主场以2比0击败特拉布宗斯波，但他们的表现并不令人印象深刻。客队的控球率为55%，进球次数(13比9)、射偏(8比3)、角球、进攻和危险进攻(55比33)也更多。

另一方面，Konyaspor正经历着一个令人失望的赛季，尤其是在比赛结果方面。上赛季他们以51分的好成绩排在第8位。他们目前在联赛中排名第19位。他们的账户上只有25分了。他们的期望值(xPTS)显然更高——准确地说是29.88。他们的净胜球差距不大，但很容易误导人。他们在联赛中取得了34次进球，丢了337个球。他们的预期进球数是33.12，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是34.56。他们的进攻显然令人失望——这是不可否认的。他们缺乏速度和创造力，但当然可以提高，特别是在这个领域。贝西克塔斯的防线太脆弱了，如果看到客队在这里进球不止一次，我不会感到惊讶。我相信他们的教练会找到办法打击东道主的防线。Konyaspor最近进步很大，最近8场比赛只输了1场。他们现在已经连续赢了两场比赛，他们的信心似乎还不错。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场1-0击败了安卡拉古库，理应得到三分。他们的进球次数(14胜9负)、射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。它们在xG - 0.96-0.44中也产生了更多。在此之前，他们也应该在杯赛中客场1-0战胜西瓦斯波尔。他们的进球次数(14胜6负)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻都比东道主多。他们在博彩市场上处于劣势，我非常喜欢他们的表现。贝西克塔人失去了盖扎伊、哈德齐亚梅托维奇、拉什卡、乌卡和乌祖恩汗。基利奇值得怀疑。Konyaspor将失去莫雷诺。东道主理应成为最受欢迎的球队，但目前最大的博彩公司提供的1.50左右的赔率太低了。根据我精密的分析，他们有53.50%的获胜机会。我们将采取Konyaspor +1.5球障碍选项，有73.50%的获胜机会!