Borja头像
外籍分析师
西班牙人,全职体育专家。
  • 968

    方案

  • 21411

    粉丝

High winning rate in La Liga!

2024-02-18

比赛分析

主队马洛卡LOGO

马洛卡

西甲

已完赛

星期一2024-02-19 01:30

客队皇家社会LOGO

皇家社会

解读理由

Mallorca is a competitive team, difficult to beat and always playing with a lot of intensity. Although this season is not their best one, I see them with potential to improve. Especially now that they have back their best striker and a key player for their attack - Vedran Muriqi, who has been injured for many months and now is ready to be starter.

Mallorca have had the whole week to prepare for this game, they will propose a defensive match and try to avoid defeat. At home they have lost only 2 games so far (12 played), 1 of them was in the first round so their balance is just one defeat in the last 11 home games.

On the other hand, for Real Sociedad this will be a very difficult game. First, because it’s only 3 days after a very important game: Champions League ⅛ finals against PSG. They played this midweek a very intense game with a lot of pace, and surely will struggle in this fixture with fatigue.

Secondly, because they are in very poor form. They are winless in the last 5 games, with two defeats in a row. Real Sociedad is struggling a lot lately to create chances and score goals, with 5 games without scoring a single goal which is shocking stat.

Furthermore, they have many injuries and doubtful players, some of them key players and starters (Traore, Oyarzabal, Tierney, Mikel Merino..) so they won’t be able to make too many rotations either. This means that they’ll play with fatigue as will use almost the same players as against PSG.

Both teams played in the Spanish Cup ½ finals a couple weeks ago, where Mallorca drew 0:0 at home making a good match in defense. The second leg will be played in 10 days.

In the previous league game, Real Sociedad won 1:0 but conceded a lot (1.67 expected goals for Mallorca), in a match where Mallorca deserved to draw.

Real Sociedad will dominate this match, but I don’t see them with the pace needed to break the solid Mallorca’s defense. They would need to play fast football and be very effective upfront as they won't have too many chances, and precisely these are the two things they are lacking at the moment: pace (due to the fatigue) and effectiveness (due to their poor form upfront).

For me this match will be a draw, probably without too many goals. Mallorca has shown that they are totally able to avoid defeat here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马洛卡是一支很有竞争力的球队,很难被击败,而且总是踢得很激烈。虽然这个赛季不是他们最好的一个赛季,但我认为他们有进步的潜力。特别是现在他们已经找回了他们最好的前锋和进攻的关键球员——穆里奇,他已经受伤好几个月了,现在已经准备好成为首发球员。

马洛卡已经为这场比赛准备了整整一个星期,他们将提出一场防守比赛,尽量避免失败。到目前为止,他们在主场只输了2场比赛(12场比赛),其中1场是在首轮,所以他们在过去的11场主场比赛中只输了1场。

另一方面,对于皇家社会来说,这将是一场非常困难的比赛。首先,因为仅仅3天之前就有一场非常重要的比赛:欧冠决赛对阵巴黎圣日耳曼。他们在周中打了一场非常激烈的比赛,节奏很快,肯定会在这场比赛中感到疲劳。

第二,因为他们的状态很差。他们最近5场比赛一胜未得,连败两场。皇家社会最近一直在努力创造机会和进球,5场比赛没有进一球,这是一个令人震惊的数据。

此外,他们有很多伤病和不确定的球员,其中一些是关键球员和首发球员(特拉奥雷,奥亚扎巴尔,蒂尔尼,米克尔·梅里诺……),所以他们也不会有太多的轮换。这意味着他们将会疲劳地比赛,因为他们使用的球员和对阵巴黎圣日耳曼时几乎是一样的。

两支球队几周前都参加了西班牙杯半决赛,马洛卡在主场0:0战平,在防守方面表现出色。第二回合比赛将在10天后进行。

在上一场联赛中,皇家社会以1:0获胜,但丢了很多球(马洛卡预期进球1.67),这场比赛马洛卡应该打平。

皇家社会将统治这场比赛,但我不认为他们有足够的速度来打破马洛卡坚固的防线。他们需要踢快节奏的足球,并且在前场发挥得非常有效,因为他们不会有太多的机会,而这正是他们目前所缺乏的两样东西:速度(由于疲劳)和效率(由于前场状态不佳)。

对我来说,这场比赛将是一场平局,可能不会有太多进球。马洛卡已经证明他们完全有能力在这里避免失败。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。