Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

FREE PICK! 法甲 里昂VS尼斯

2024-02-16

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期六2024-02-17 04:00

解读理由

Lyon VS Nice


Lyon welcome Nice for this French Ligue 1 round 22 battle at Parc Olympique Lyonnais early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the fifth-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very promising game to bet on here! There is no doubt about the fact that Nice are the better team here. They currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings and have an impressive 39 points to their account. They have been marginally unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They played organized, sometimes even a bit cautious football. They do lack offensive firepower compared to the other top-teams. Their offense has a good structure but sometimes lacks speed, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments. They have scored only 22 goals. However, I want to highlight that their number of expected goals (xG) is massively bigger – 33.13 to be precise. Their defence, on the other hand, has been almost amazingly solid and has no actual weaknesses! They have conceded only 14 goals! This is the lowest number in Ligue 1. PSG, the reigning champions and a team that currently top the standings, have allowed 18 goals.. I would not be very surprised if the hosts were to fail to score here..

Nice have been in fine form recently – losing only one of their last five games. In their last game they lost to Monaco, a dangerous team, at home 2-3 but were the better team. Indeed, they recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, corner kicks (8-2), attacks and dangerous attacks. Nice also generated more in xG – 2.67-1.99. Lyon have not been able to beat Nice in any of the last three games between the two teams. Furthermore, they are having an extremely disappointing season. Indeed, they are in 13th place at the moment and have only 22 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is somewhat higher though. They have netted the ball 22 times and do not have a good offensive structure. Their defence is much worse than Nice's - they have allowed 34 goals and their defenders make a lot of silly mistakes. Last season they took 7th place and do have potential for some improvement. However, bookies seem to give this potential clearly too much emphasis here. Yes, they have improved from the awful early season but are still far from last season level. They have won four of their last five matches and two of the last four Ligue 1 games. In their last game they beat Montpellier away from home 2-1 but the hosts generated more in xG - 1.77-1.12. Before this they beat Lille 2-1 at home but the match was a balanced one. Lille had 58% ball possession but Lyon had one more goal attempt.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

里昂VS尼斯


北京时间周六凌晨,里昂将在里昂奥林匹克公园迎来法甲联赛第22轮对阵尼斯的比赛。这是世界上第五好的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们有另一个非常有前途的游戏在这里下注!毫无疑问,尼斯在这里是一支更好的球队。他们目前在积分榜上排名第二,并获得了令人印象深刻的39分。从期望值(xPTS)的角度来看,他们运气不太好。他们踢得很有组织,有时甚至有点谨慎。与其他顶级球队相比,他们确实缺乏进攻火力。他们的进攻结构很好,但有时在关键时刻缺乏速度、创造力和传球准确性。他们只进了22个球。然而,我想强调的是,他们的预期进球数(xG)要大得多——准确地说是33.13。另一方面,他们的防守几乎是惊人的稳固,没有任何弱点!他们只丢了14个球!这是法甲联赛中最低的数字。卫冕冠军、目前排名第一的巴黎圣日耳曼已经丢了18个球。如果东道主在这里没有进球,我不会感到非常惊讶。

尼斯最近状态很好,最近五场比赛只输了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比3输给了摩纳哥,这是一支危险的球队,但他们表现得更好。事实上,他们的进球次数、射门次数、角球次数(8-2)、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。Nice在xG - 2.67-1.99中也产生了更多。里昂在两队最近的三场比赛中都没能击败尼斯。此外,他们正经历一个极其令人失望的赛季。事实上,他们目前排在第13位,口袋里只有22分。不过,它们的xpt数量要高一些。他们有22次进球,没有一个好的进攻结构。他们的防守比尼斯差多了——他们丢了34个球,他们的后卫犯了很多愚蠢的错误。上个赛季,他们排在第7位,确实有提升的潜力。然而,博彩公司似乎在这里过分强调了这种潜力。是的,他们已经从糟糕的赛季初进步了,但是和上赛季相比还有很大的差距。他们在最近的五场比赛中赢了四场,在最近的四场法甲比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们客场2-1击败了蒙彼利埃,但主队的进球更多,比分是xG - 1.77-1.12。在此之前,他们在主场2-1击败里尔,但这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛。里尔有58%的控球率,但里昂还有一次射门机会。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。