VfB Stuttgart VS FSV Mainz 05

Stuttgart welcome Mainz for this German Bundesliga round 21 battle at MHPArena late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the 3rd-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting match to bet on here! There is no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the much better team here. They have an edge over Mainz in all areas of the game. The key question here is how much better..? Last season Stuttgart finished in 16th place in this league with a total of 18 clubs. They were, in fact, close to being relegated! Mainz, on the other hand, took a decent 46 points and finished in 9th place. It is clear that the pretty young Stuttgart team has improved a lot for this season. They currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings. However, by pure class they are only the 5th team in this league. They have a respectable 40 points to their account. They are pretty dangerous offensively - having scored 46 goals.. Their defence on the other hand is pretty vulnerable to fast counter attacks. This is, in fact, something Mainz are pretty good at!

The visitors are having a disappointing season and are in the 17th place in the league table. However, it is important to realize that they have been extremely unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) – one of the most unlucky in the the top-6 European leagues! They would have deserved 26 or 27 points! They can improve in all areas of the game and are  - on paper - only a little worse than last season. Yes, the Mainz offense has lacked speed and creativity so far but the number of goals – 15 – is still very misleading! Their number of expected goals (xG) is massively higher! Their defence is okay and has a good structure. They have allowed 32 goals, less than Freiburg who are currently in 7th place. The odds of around 1.50 on the home win offered by the bookies are way too low and the fans wanting to go for bigger odds can take the visitors +0.5 goals handicap (45.50% chance of winning) but we will take the Mainz +1.5 goals handicap! Stuttgart have not been at their best lately – losing three of their last five games. In their last game they deservedly lost to Leverkusen 2-3 away from home. Mainz have not won a game for a long time but have also not lost any of their last 12 games by a margin of more than one goal! In their last game they were the better team against Union Berlin – recording more goal attempts and shots on goal but it was a 1-1 draw at home. Mainz generated 1.87 in expected goals (xG) - Union Berlin managed only 0.87.

斯图加特VS美因茨05

北京时间周日晚，斯图加特将在德甲第21轮主场迎战美因茨。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有一场非常有趣的比赛可以下注!毫无疑问，东道主在这里的表现要好得多。他们在比赛的各个方面都比美因茨有优势。这里的关键问题是有多好?上赛季斯图加特在联赛中排名第16位，共有18家俱乐部。事实上，他们差一点就降级了!另一方面，美因茨获得了46分，排名第九。很明显，年轻漂亮的斯图加特在本赛季进步了很多。他们目前在积分榜上排名第三。然而，从纯粹的等级来看，他们在这个联盟中只是排名第五的球队。他们的账户上有可观的40分。他们在进攻端相当危险，已经进了46个球。另一方面，他们的防守很容易受到快速反击的攻击。事实上，这是美因茨非常擅长的事情!

客队本赛季表现令人失望，目前在积分榜上排名第17位。然而，重要的是要意识到他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面非常不走运——是欧洲前六名联赛中最不走运的球队之一!他们应该得到26或27分!他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高，而且——从纸面上看——只比上赛季差一点点。是的，美因茨的进攻到目前为止缺乏速度和创造力，但他们的进球数——15个——仍然很误导人!他们的预期目标数量(xG)要高得多!他们的防守很好，结构也很好。他们丢了32个球，比目前排名第7的弗赖堡少。博彩公司提供的主场胜率约为1.50的赔率太低了，想要获得更大赔率的球迷可以让客队+0.5个进球的赔率(45.50%的获胜机会)，但我们会让美因茨+1.5个进球的赔率!斯图加特最近状态不佳，最近五场比赛输了三场。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场2-3输给勒沃库森，这是他们应得的。美因茨已经很长时间没有赢过一场比赛了，但他们最近12场比赛也没有输过一球以上的比赛!在上一场对阵柏林联盟的比赛中，他们表现得更好，射门次数和射门次数都更多，但最终在主场1-1战平。美因茨的预期进球(xG)为1.87，而柏林联盟仅为0.87。