Burnley, in my opinion, has a better chance of avoiding defeat in this game than the bookmakers' odds suggest.

Burnley has a tremendous mental advantage heading into this game. Both teams played each other in December, with Burnley winning 2:0 at Craven Cottage. They undoubtedly came into this game with confidence and a strong belief in their ability to perform well in front of their home fans. Fulham has a terrible road record this season. They failed to win in ten of their eleven away league games and scored only nine goals.

Burnley's schedule has been extremely difficult since the previous match between the two teams. They played five matches (4 in the league and one in the cup), four of them were against top-five opponents. They lost by a late goal against the Premier League's strongest home club (2:3 versus Aston Villa), and they also had close road meetings against City and Tottenham. The team's confidence should be decent.

Fulham is, in my opinion, greatly overrated in this game. In 2024, they played six matches in all competitions and won only once, against Rotherham from the lower level division. Fulham struggled to score goals during those six matches, netting only three. Fulham have only scored once in their last four outings. Today they are without their best scorer Raul Jimenez and that should have very bad impact on their performance.

Furthermore, Burnley has a significant competitive advantage in terms of fitness. This is Fulham's fourth match in the in 10 days. Freshness is definitely not on their side.

In those conditions, the home side's double chance appears to be fantastic value.

在我看来，伯恩利在这场比赛中避免失败的机会比博彩公司给出的赔率要大。

伯恩利在这场比赛中拥有巨大的心理优势。两队在去年12月交手，伯恩利在克雷文小屋以2:0获胜。毫无疑问，他们带着信心和强烈的信念进入这场比赛，他们有能力在主场球迷面前表现出色。富勒姆本赛季的客场战绩很糟糕。他们在11场客场比赛中有10场没有获胜，只进了9个球。

伯恩利的赛程自从上一场两队的比赛以来一直非常艰难。他们打了5场比赛(4场联赛，1场杯赛)，其中4场对阵排名前五的对手。他们在最后时刻输给了英超最强的主场俱乐部(2:3对阵阿斯顿维拉)，他们还在客场对阵曼城和热刺。球队的信心应该是不错的。

在我看来，富勒姆在这场比赛中被高估了。在2024年，他们在所有比赛中打了六场比赛，只赢了一次，对手是来自低级别联赛的罗瑟勒姆。富勒姆在这六场比赛中很难进球，只进了三球。富勒姆在最近的四场比赛中只进了一球。今天他们失去了他们最好的射手劳尔·希门尼斯，这对他们的表现会产生非常糟糕的影响。

此外，伯恩利在体能方面具有显著的竞争优势。这是富勒姆在10天内的第四场比赛。新鲜度绝对不是他们的优势。

在这种情况下，主队的双重机会似乎非常有价值。