Adelaide United VS Central Coast Mariners

Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners lock horns in this Australian A-League round 15 battle at Coopers Stadium Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Australian football. Australia played well in the last World Cup in Qatar in 2022. They even made it to the Playoffs but lost to the eventual World Champions, Argentina, after an intense and physical battle 1-2. However, the level of this league is rather low by global standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most matches in this league are, however, pretty entertaining to watch as almost all team aim at attacking pretty aggressively. Last season Central Coast Mariners finished in 2nd place – Adelaide up in 3rd place after the regular season – in this league with a total of 12 clubs. The two teams then met in the Playoffs semi-finals and Central Coast Mariners proved their class – raising their level from the regular season games when the stakes were high! The first leg at Coopers Stadium was a pretty balanced clash – both teams recorded 11 goal attempts but the visitors won 2-1 after recording a little more in xG – 1.45-1.29. In the second leg Mariners were the much better team – winning 2-0 after recording many more goal attempts (23-16), goal attempts and xG – 2.98-0.86. Adelaide did, however, beat the Mariners 3-0 at home last November but the final score was very misleading – the visitors even recorded more goal attempts – 24-22. I also need to mention that Adelaide played clearly above their normal level in this game.. It seems that the result of this match affects the odds too much here.. Indeed, the biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers see the visitors only as marginal favourites – offering them odds of around 2.55 to win at the time of writing this preview early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is, based on my strongly data-based in-depth expert analysis, clearly too high! The Mariners +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here to go for even more profit betting on this league! I expect the odds on the visitors to drop before the kickoff as sharp money is expected to pile up on them. With the expected lineups they deserve to be solid favourites here.

The visitors currently occupy the 3rd place in the league table. They have a fine 24 points to their account and have a genuine chance of winning the championship. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is even a bit higher. They have netted the ball 27 times so far – this is the second-highest number in this league. Their number of xG is 28.65. The hosts offense is not bad either – they, too, have scored 27 goals but their number of xG is lower – 24.12 to be precise. In terms of defensive quality the visitors have a clear edge. Their defence has a fine structure and has no obvious weaknesses. The Mariners have conceded only 19 goals and can improve further in this area of the game.. I also trust their goalkeeper and head coach a lot in terms of tactics. The Adelaide defence is vulnerable especially when the opposition presses the defenders hard - with several players. Some of their defenders are surprisingly error-prone. The hosts have allowed 24 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 27.77. Adelaide have been clearly worse than last season and are in 8th place with 18 points in their pocket. Yes, they have some potential for improvement but the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis. I have lowered their power rating as the season has progressed and they are currently only in 7th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors as well as possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. The hosts have won only one of their last five matches. In their last match they were not bad as a whole but lost to Melbourne city away from home 0-1. Before this, on the 13th of January, they were very lucky to beat Sydney a neutral location 4-3. Indeed, Sydney were definitely the better team on the pitch. They had 64% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (21-7), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The visitors, on the other hand, have been in great form for a long time already! They have not lost any of their last 12 games – winning 8/12! In their last match they comfortably defeated Brisbane Roar 2-0 at home despite not being at their best. Before this the Mariners, the reigning champions of Australia, beat Melbourne City 2-1 at home. Lastly I want to highlight that they crushed the same opponent in the 2022-2023 season final 6-1 as clear underdogs on the betting market! Melbourne City were the best team during the 2022-2023 regular season – topping the standings by a margin of 11 points! They are a better team than the league table would reflect. Central Coast Mariners are a very fit and mentally strong team who are often at their best during the past 15 minutes of the game. They often somehow manage to win the balanced matches.. They played much better as a team than the list of players would suggest!

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阿德莱德联队VS中央海岸水手队

北京时间周六下午，阿德莱德联队和中央海岸水手队将在澳大利亚a联赛第15轮的比赛中在库珀斯体育场交锋。这是澳大利亚最高级别的足球比赛。澳大利亚在2022年的卡塔尔世界杯上表现出色。他们甚至进入了季后赛，但在一场激烈的身体对抗后，以1比2输给了最终的世界冠军阿根廷队。然而，以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当低。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润，可以期待一场比联赛平均水平更好的比赛。然而，这个联赛中的大多数比赛都是非常有趣的，因为几乎所有的球队都以进攻为目标。上个赛季，中央海岸水手队在这个共有12家俱乐部的联赛中排名第二，阿德莱德队在常规赛结束后排名第三。两队随后在季后赛半决赛相遇，中央海岸水手队证明了他们的水平——在赌注很高的常规赛中提高了他们的水平!在库珀斯球场的首回合比赛是一场势均力敌的比赛——两队都有11次进球尝试，但客队在以1.45-1.29的比分多了一些之后以2-1取胜。在第二回合比赛中，水手队表现要好得多，他们在进球次数(23-16)、进球次数和净胜率(2.98-0.86)更多的情况下以2-0获胜。然而，去年11月阿德莱德确实在主场3-0击败了水手队，但最终的比分很容易让人误解——客队的进球次数甚至更多——24-22。我还需要提一下，阿德莱德在这场比赛中的表现明显高于他们的正常水平。看来这场比赛的结果对这里的赔率影响太大了。事实上，那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司只把访客视为边缘热门——在北京时间周六凌晨撰写这篇文章时，他们提供的赔率约为2.55。这是，基于我强有力的基于数据的深度专家分析，显然太高了!水手+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的赌注，在这里去更多的利润投注在这个联盟!我预计客队的赔率会在开球前下降，因为大笔的钱会堆积在他们身上。凭借预期的阵容，他们理应成为这里的大热门。

客队目前在积分榜上排名第三。他们有24分的积分，很有机会赢得冠军。他们的期望值(xPTS)甚至更高一些。到目前为止，他们已经进球27次，这是联盟第二高的数字。它们的xG数是28.65。主队的进攻也不差——他们也进了27球，但他们的射门数更低——准确地说是24.12。就防守质量而言，客队有明显的优势。他们的防守结构很好，没有明显的弱点。水手队只丢了19个球，在这方面还可以进一步提高。在战术方面，我也很信任他们的门将和主教练。阿德莱德的防守是脆弱的，特别是当对手用几个球员对后卫施加压力的时候。他们的一些捍卫者出人意料地容易出错。东道主丢了24个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是27.77个。阿德莱德显然比上个赛季更糟糕了，现在以18分排在第8位。是的，他们有一些改进的潜力，但是博彩公司过于强调这种潜力了。随着赛季的推进，我降低了他们的能量等级，目前他们在我的能量等级中只排在第7位，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳——由高要求的比赛日程引起的。东道主在最近五场比赛中只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们整体表现还不错，但是客场0-1输给了墨尔本。在此之前，1月13日，他们非常幸运地以4-3击败了悉尼队。事实上，悉尼在球场上绝对是一支更好的球队。他们有64%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试(21-7)、射正、射离、角球、总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。另一方面，客队在很长一段时间内都保持着良好的状态!他们在过去的12场比赛中没有输过一场，12胜8负!在上一场比赛中，他们在主场2-0轻松击败了布里斯班咆哮队，尽管他们并没有处于最佳状态。在此之前，澳大利亚卫冕冠军水手队在主场以2-1击败墨尔本城队。最后我想强调的是，他们击败了同一个对手

2022-2023赛季决赛6-1在博彩市场上明显处于劣势!在2022-2023赛季的常规赛中，墨尔本城队是最好的球队，领先11分!他们是一支比积分榜所反映的更好的球队。中央海岸水手队是一支非常健康和精神强大的球队，他们通常在比赛的最后15分钟处于最佳状态。他们常常设法赢得势均力敌的比赛。他们作为一个团队的表现比球员名单所显示的要好得多!

02月03日阿德莱德联 VS 中央海岸水手比赛分析直播