Western United FC VS Sydney FC

Western United welcome Sydney FC for this Australian A-League round 15 battle at North Hobart Oval Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Australian football. Australia performed surprisingly well in the last World Cup in Qatar 2022 – qualifying for the Playoffs but lost to the eventual World Champions, Argentina, 1-2. However, the level of this league is somewhat low by international standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, can expect a match of quite mediocre level by this league's standards here. Last season Western United finished in 7th place – Sydney ended up in 5th – in this league with a total of 12 clubs. They qualified for the Playoffs and beat WS Wanderers in the quarter-finals. In the semi-finals they faced Melbourne City, clearly the best team in the league last season. Sydney were the better team at home in the first leg – recording more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as expected goals (xG). 2.02-0.77. In the second leg Melbourne City were the better team though – winning 4-0. However, the final score is very misleading. The xG numbers were 1.37-0.44 in the hosts' favour. With a little more luck Sydney could quite possibly even have won the championship! I expect another strong season from Sydney FC: They currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a decent 19 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 21.03. They can improve in all areas of the game as the season progresses.  They are in 5th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors as well as possible fatigue – caused by a busy match schedule. They have netted the ball 25 times in this league and their number of expected goals is a little higher. They have conceded 25 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 22.98. Their defence does not have any obvious weaknesses but some of their defenders have been pretty erratic so far – giving too risky passes etc. Furthermore, their midfielders should be more active in defending – especially when they are protecting a lead.. The hosts have been abysmal so far this season! I have, as a result, significantly lowered their power rating.  They are in last place in this rating. Yes, they do have potential for improvement as the season progresses but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis! They have a pathetic seven points to their account. The hosts' number of xPTS is higher though. Perth Glory, currently in 11th place, have grabbed 15 points. The team in 6th (and last) Playoffs place, Melbourne City, have taken 21 points. Consequently, the hosts season is more or less over as the chance of qualifying for the Playoffs is almost nonexistent. Western United's offense has been pathetic and have scored only 11 goals! On paper their offense is not terrible, but it is impossible to write anything positive about their offense so far. Their defence is definitely better than offence but is still rather leaky. It has a poor structure and silly individual mistakes are common! They are clearly low in confidence at the moment. Furthermore, according to my sources their team spirit is far from great.. I also do not trust their coach in terms of tactical skills or as a leader. Yes, the home advantage is still there but it is much smaller than on average in this league. The Western United fans have been – totally understandably – been very frustrated with their team's performances late last season and especially this season. They have lost six of their most recent home matches! I do not expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be too great. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Sydney FC are pretty clearly the bigger team here. Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of around nine million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, too low though. Three players are undervalued. The hosts' players have a total market value of about six million which is more or less correct. 

The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers offer the visitors odds of around 1.80-1.85 to win at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time. This is, based on my strongly data-based in-depth expert analysis, clearly too high! Away win is the obvious smart bet here! I expect the odds on Sydney to win before the match starts as sharp money is expected to pile up on them. With the expected lineups my fans and I have a 61.60% chance of winning - once again – betting on this match! The hosts will be missing Danzaki and Tratt. Bozinovski, Donachie, Pasquali and Rukavytsya are questionable. As for Sydney, King, Rodwell and Wood are out. I expect the visitors to be active right from the kickoff – putting big pressure on the hosts' shaky defence. The hosts defence will surely find it very difficult trying to Sydney's fast and skilled strikers and midfielders! Western United have lost four of their last five games. Moreover, they have suffered a defeat in 10 of their last 12 matches! Sydney have easily beaten Western United in the last two games between the two teams. On the 23rd of December 2023 Sydney took a 4-2 home win – after having a 61% ball possession and recording a whopping 29 goal attempts – Western United managed only 14. On the 17th of September 2023 Sydney crushed Western United 3-0 at home in an Australia Cup clash. Western United recorded only one shot on target in this game. Sydney FC have been in fine form recently. Indeed, they have won four of their last six matches. In their last game they faced Melbourne Victory on the road as solid underdogs according to the bookies – priced around 310-3.20 to win. The hosts had 67% ball possession but both teams recorded four shots on target. The xG numbers were pretty balanced – 1.34-1.23 in the hosts' favour. Before this Sydney FC crushed Newcastle Jets at home. The 4-0 final score does flatter them to some extent but they fully deserved the three points! They had 60% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts, shots on goal(8-1) and shots off target. On the 13th of January they were very unlucky to lose to Adelaide United at a neutral location 3-4. Indeed, Sydney were the better team on the pitch. They had 64% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (21-7), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks.

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西联VS悉尼FC

北京时间周六下午，西联将在北霍巴特椭圆球场迎接悉尼FC参加澳大利亚a联赛第15轮的比赛。这是澳大利亚最高级别的足球比赛。澳大利亚队在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上的表现出人意料地出色，获得了季后赛资格，但以1比2输给了最终的世界冠军阿根廷队。然而，按照国际标准，这个联赛的水平有些低。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润，可以期待一场以这个联赛的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。上个赛季，西联在这个共有12家俱乐部的联赛中排名第七，悉尼排名第五。他们进入了季后赛，并在四分之一决赛中击败了WS流浪者队。在半决赛中，他们面对的是墨尔本城队，显然是上赛季联赛中最好的球队。悉尼队在首回合的主场表现更好，他们的进球次数、射正次数和预期进球(xG)都更多。2.02 - -0.77。在第二回合比赛中，墨尔本城队表现更好，4-0获胜。然而，最终的分数很容易误导人。对东道主有利的xG值为1.37-0.44。如果运气再好一点，悉尼甚至很可能赢得冠军!我预计悉尼FC会有一个强劲的赛季:他们目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们已经拿到了19分。然而，他们的期望点数(xPTS)是21.03。随着赛季的进行，他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高。他们在我的力量排名中排名第五，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳-由繁忙的比赛日程引起的。他们在这个联赛中有25次进球，他们的预期进球数量要高一些。他们丢了25个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是22.98个。他们的防守没有任何明显的弱点，但他们的一些后卫到目前为止相当不稳定——传球太危险等等。此外，他们的中场应该更积极地防守——特别是当他们保持领先的时候。这一季到目前为止，东道主的表现糟透了!因此，我大大降低了它们的功率等级。他们在这个排名中排名最后。是的，随着赛季的进行，他们确实有进步的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力了!他们的账户只有可怜的七分。但是主机的xPTS数量更高。目前排名第11位的珀斯光荣队获得了15分。季后赛第六名(也是最后一名)的墨尔本城队已经拿到了21分。因此，东道主的赛季或多或少结束了，因为晋级季后赛的机会几乎不存在。西联的进攻很可怜，只进了11个球!从纸面上看，他们的进攻并不可怕，但到目前为止，不可能对他们的进攻做出任何积极的评价。他们的防守肯定比进攻好，但仍然漏洞百出。它有一个糟糕的结构和愚蠢的个人错误是常见的!他们目前显然信心不足。此外，根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神远非伟大。我也不相信他们的教练的战术技巧和领导能力。是的，主场优势仍然存在，但比这个联赛的平均水平要小得多。西联的球迷对球队上赛季末尤其是本赛季的表现感到非常沮丧，这完全可以理解。他们在最近的主场比赛中输了6场!我不认为球场的气氛会太好。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，悉尼FC显然是这里更大的球队。事实上，这支球队的市场价值估计在900万欧元左右。在我的专家看来，这太低了。有三家公司被低估了。东道主球员的总市值约为600万，这或多或少是正确的。

在北京时间周五晚上撰写本文时，接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司为游客提供的赔率约为1.80-1.85。这是，基于我强有力的基于数据的深度专家分析，显然太高了!客场取胜显然是明智的选择!我预计悉尼队在比赛开始前获胜的赔率，因为预计会有大量资金涌入他们身上。有了预期的阵容，我和我的球迷有61.60%的机会赢球——再一次——赌这场比赛!东道主将会错过丹扎基和特拉特。Bozinovski, Donachie, Pasquali和Rukavytsya都是例外

tionable。至于悉尼，金、罗德威尔和伍德都出局了。我希望客队从开球开始就积极主动，给主队摇摇欲坠的防线施加巨大压力。东道主的防守肯定会发现悉尼的快速和技术娴熟的前锋和中场很难对付!西联最近五场比赛输了四场。此外，他们在最近的12场比赛中输了10场!悉尼队在两队之间的最后两场比赛中轻松击败了西部联队。2023年12月23日，悉尼主场4-2大胜，控球率为61%，进球次数高达29次，而西联只有14次。在2023年9月17日的澳大利亚杯比赛中，悉尼主场3-0击败西联。西联在这场比赛中只有一次射正。悉尼FC最近状态很好。事实上，他们在最近6场比赛中赢了4场。在他们的最后一场比赛中，他们在客场面对墨尔本胜利队，根据博彩公司的定价，他们是绝对的失败者，胜率约为310-3.20。主队有67%的控球率，但两队都有4次射正。xG数据相当平衡——1.34-1.23对东道主有利。在此之前，悉尼FC在主场击败了纽卡斯尔喷气机队。4-0的最终比分在某种程度上确实让他们感到高兴，但他们完全配得上这三分!他们有60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正(8比1)和射偏。1月13日，他们非常不幸地在一个中立的地方以3比4输给了阿德莱德联队。事实上，悉尼队在球场上表现得更好。他们有64%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(21-7)、射正、射偏、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。

02月03日西部联 VS 悉尼FC比赛分析直播