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Who will qualify to 1/4 finals?

2024-01-30

比赛分析

解读理由

Uzbekistan achieved the qualification to 1 ⁄ 8 finals after beating India easily (3:0), achieved a draw against one of the best teams in the tournament (Australia, 1:1) and drew 0:0 against Syria in a game they deserved to draw. They had a difficult group with Australia and their main target was to qualify, so the qualification is a success for them.

Now they are motivated to reach the quarter finals, following the success of 2004, 2007, 2011 and 2015. In 2019 they were eliminated by Australia in penalties in ⅛ finals.

They have a decent squad with a value of more than 25MM euros, highlighting the young midfielder Fayzullaev from CSKA and the young CB Khusanov from Lens. Both players will make the difference in this game for Uzbekistan, especially Fayzullaev who will find chances in the weak Thailand’s defense.

Thailand managed to qualify to ⅛ finals for the third time in their history after 1972 and 2019. They were very lucky to qualify, as finished second beating Kyrgyzstan (one of the worst teams in the tournament), drew with Oman and achieved a very lucky draw against Saudi Arabia, as they were totally outplayed, generated only 0.18 expedited goals, conceded 2.62 and rivals missed a penalty.

Oman played with Uzbekistan this summer in the CAFA Nations Cup and was totally outplayed, losing 3:0.

They were lucky in the group because Oman, their main rival, suffered an unlucky draw against Kyrgyzstan and also an unlucky defeat at 96’ against Saudi Arabia. But in normal circumstances I believe that Oman would have been the second qualified and Thailand third, as they have shown that they are a better team.

Thailand are playing with a very defensive system (5/4/1), generating very few danger and trying to hold the 0:0 as much as they can. But against serious rivals this is not a good plan, as shown against Saudi Arabia. In attack they looked also very weak, generating very few danger against Oman and Saudi Arabia.

Their best player is the striker Spachai Chaided, who scored the two only goals of the team so far (both against Kyrgyzstan). However, their squad value is less than half (only 10MM Euros) than Uzbekistan's.

I’m expecting a tight game without too many goals, but Uzbekistan has more quality and I think they will dominate the game. Thailand will again set up a very defensive system and I see Uzbekistan able to control the match and also generate some chances. Furthermore, Uzbekistan is way more stronger defensively.

Both teams already played in the Asian Cup Qualifiers in 2022, where Uzbekistan won the group and also the match against Thailand 2:0, dominating the match and conceding just one shot on target.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

乌兹别克斯坦在轻松击败印度(3:0)后进入了1 / 8决赛,在与本届比赛中最好的球队之一(澳大利亚,1:1)的比赛中取得平局,并在一场他们应得的平局中以0:0战平叙利亚。他们与澳大利亚的小组赛很艰难,他们的主要目标是出线,所以出线对他们来说是成功的。

继2004年、2007年、2011年和2015年的成功之后,现在他们有动力进入四分之一决赛。在2019年的决赛中,他们在点球大战中被澳大利亚淘汰。

他们拥有一支价值超过2500万欧元的优秀球队,其中包括来自中央陆军的年轻中场法伊祖拉耶夫和来自伦斯的年轻中场库萨诺夫。这两名球员都将在这场比赛中为乌兹别克斯坦队带来改变,尤其是法伊祖拉耶夫,他将在泰国队薄弱的防守中找到机会。

泰国继1972年和2019年之后第三次晋级决赛。他们非常幸运地获得了晋级资格,击败了吉尔吉斯斯坦(比赛中表现最差的球队之一),以第二名的成绩战平了阿曼,并非常幸运地战平了沙特阿拉伯,因为他们完全处于劣势,只创造了0.18个加速进球,丢了2.62个,对手罚丢了一个点球。

今年夏天,阿曼与乌兹别克斯坦在中央美协国家杯上交手,但最终以3:0输掉了比赛。

他们在小组中很幸运,因为他们的主要对手阿曼不幸战平吉尔吉斯斯坦,并不幸以96比0输给沙特阿拉伯。但在正常情况下,我相信阿曼会是第二名,泰国会是第三名,因为他们已经证明了他们是一支更好的球队。

泰国的防守体系非常严密(5/4/1),很少产生危险,并试图尽可能地保持0:0。但面对强大的对手,这不是一个好计划,就像对沙特阿拉伯的情况一样。在进攻方面,他们看起来也很弱,对阿曼和沙特阿拉伯的威胁很小。

他们最好的球员是前锋斯派查伊·查伊德(Spachai chaid),他打进了球队迄今为止仅有的两粒进球(都是对阵吉尔吉斯斯坦)。然而,他们的阵容价值还不到乌兹别克斯坦的一半(只有1000万欧元)。

我预计这场比赛会很紧张,不会有太多进球,但乌兹别克斯坦的实力更强,我认为他们会统治比赛。泰国将再次建立一个非常防守的体系,我认为乌兹别克斯坦能够控制比赛并创造一些机会。此外,乌兹别克斯坦的防守更强大。

这两支球队都曾参加过2022年亚洲杯预选赛,乌兹别克斯坦在小组赛和与泰国的比赛中都以2:0获胜,占据了比赛的主导地位,只丢了一脚射门。

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