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Is this as easy it seems? 国王杯 马竞VS塞维利亚

2024-01-26

比赛分析

西班牙杯

已完赛

星期五2024-01-26 04:00

解读理由

This one is so obvious that I almost decided to skip as probably everyone here is backing the same horse, but I will give my view in as short manner as possible.

This is cup, not league, and even if it often changes a few things we can use the data from la liga here as they both play in the same competition, with very different performances and results!

Atletico have lost some ground in the league to top-3, but it is down to their away form, not home.

From the 10 home matches they have won 9 and drawn once. The draw came vs local rivals Getafe in a 3-3 goal fest in December.

The teams met before Christmas, Atletico won only 1-0 but Sevilla never looked like scoring a goal.


Sevilla's season has been a horrible one, it was not so big a surprise as they lost so many key defenders. The performances are weak, and they are not going to get any better with this sqauad where also the managers come and go.

They are 1 point above relegation zone, but the bottom-4 expected points are almost equal, and if someone said to me Sevilla have been the worst league team this season I would not argue much. They have been equally bad home and away, and compared to expected goals they have actually scored almost 50% more goals than they should have, their attacking performances are only equalled by Cadiz.

The team news favor strongly Atletico Madrid:


In the last league round Atletico found it hard away at Granada but yet came out as 0-1 winners. I did back Granada there, and it was a very equal and relatively poor class match where Atletico also rotated their top players. Sevilla visited the high-flying Girona side, and despite scoring first they lost by 5-1!

The defense is really all over the place, and Atletico will score at least 3 times tonight in Madrid, which is enough to cover this handicap offered.

Expected lineups below:




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这一点是如此明显,我几乎决定跳过,因为这里的每个人可能都支持同样的观点,但我将尽可能简短地给出我的观点。

这是杯赛,不是联赛,即使它经常改变一些事情,我们也可以在这里使用西甲联赛的数据,因为他们都参加同样的比赛,有着非常不同的表现和结果!

马竞在联赛中失去了一些优势,排名前三,但这是由于他们的客场状态,而不是主场。

在10场主场比赛中,他们9胜1平。平局是在去年12月与当地对手赫塔菲的一场3比3的比赛中进行的。

两支球队在圣诞节前相遇,马竞只赢了1-0,但塞维利亚从来没有进球的迹象。


塞维利亚本赛季踢得很糟糕,这并不是什么大的意外,因为他们失去了那么多重要的后卫。他们的表现很弱,在这样的阵容下,他们不会有任何好转,教练也会换来换去。

他们比降级区高出1分,但倒数4名的预期积分几乎相等,如果有人对我说塞维利亚是本赛季联赛最差的球队,我不会争辩太多。他们在主场和客场的表现都一样糟糕,与预期进球相比,他们实际上比预期多进了近50%的进球,他们的进攻表现只有加的斯能与之媲美。

球队新闻强烈支持马德里竞技:


在上一轮联赛中,马竞在客场对阵格拉纳达的比赛中表现艰难,但最终以0-1取胜。我在格拉纳达的比赛中做过,那是一场非常势均力敌的比赛,马竞也轮换了他们的顶级球员。塞维利亚做客雄心勃勃的赫罗纳队,尽管他们先进球,但他们以5-1输了!

防守确实无处不在,马竞今晚在马德里至少会进3个球,这足以弥补这个不利条件。

预计阵容如下:


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