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外籍分析师
西班牙人,全职体育专家。
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Two good picks for the Thursday!

2024-01-25

比赛分析

西班牙杯

已完赛

星期五2024-01-26 04:00

亚洲杯

已完赛

星期四2024-01-25 23:00

解读理由

KYRGTZSTAN - OMAN

Kyrgyzstan, who is one of the worst teams in the tournament, has very few chances to qualify to ⅛ finals. They need a victory by several goals difference to qualify between the best third-ranked teams in the groups of this round.

They made very poor performances so far, losing 2:0 in the opening game against a weak team like Thailand, and also being totally outplayed by Saudi Arabia losing 0:2 again.

The coming thing in both games has been the individual mistakes by their players. In defense, in attack and also in concentration, as they received two red cards in the game against Saudi Arabia, generating 0 expected goals and without making a single shot during the whole game.

Their plan during both games has been to set up a very defensive system with 5 defenders and 4 midfielders, but unsuccessfully because both Thailand and Saudi Arabia found many spaces at the back of the defenders and also created many chances easily.

As they need to win here, they will be forced to use a more offensive system, so I’m expecting even worse defense by them.

On the other hand, Oman need a victory to qualify. They have one point after drawing 0:0 with Thailand, but need to win here to qualify between the best third-ranked teams in the group stage.

Against Thailand played a good game, generating chances and controlling the game with 70% possession. They also lost 2:1 against Saudi Arabia playing a very good game and conceding at 94’, but they deserved to draw there.

For this match I think they’ll control the game, with more possession and chances than Kyrgyzstan.

Furthermore, Kyrgyzstan have two important players suspended for this fixture. One of them is the CB so their defensive line will struggle here playing with the reserve. Oman has more quality and motivation, so I see them winning here.

ATLETICO MADRID - SEVILLA

Atletico de Madrid is taking this competition very seriously. They eliminated Real Madrid in the ET in a great performance, so are full of confidence. Coach Simeone is managing the rotations well, using strong players and starters in this competition. For this fixture a strong lineup is expected after resting some key players in the weekend game against Granada, such as Koke, De Paul or Gimenez.

They are in great form, playing well and generating a lot in attack. At home are particularly stronger as they are unbeaten since more than 1 year ago, which was against Barcelona.

Attackers Griezmann and Morata are playing at a very high level and scoring many goals, so are full of confidence.

On the other hand, Sevilla is a mess. They are surely focused in La Liga where they are close to the relegation zone and they need to avoid it at any cost. The club tried changing the coach but with Quique the things are the same: the team is conceding a lot in defense, lacking concentration and confidence, and also struggling a lot to generate chances.

They also suffered many injuries during the season so the players have fatigue accumulated, and also have not been able to make rotations. For this fixture, their best player - striker En-Nesiry - is out as is playing with Morrocco the African Cup, whilst other starters are injured (Gudelj, Lukebakio) and others are doubtful (Acuña, Ocampos).

This weekend they were totally outplayed by Girona, who beat them 5:1. Recently, Atletico Madrid also beat them 1:0 in December, in a game totally controlled and deservedly won by the hosts.

Atletico has much more quality, motivation and confidence to win here. Furthermore, I expect them to make a good performance and try to win the game in the regular time, to avoid playing another extra-time and accumulate unnecessary fatigue.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

吉尔吉斯斯坦-阿曼

吉尔吉斯斯坦是本届比赛中表现最差的球队之一,晋级决赛的机会非常少。他们需要以几个净胜球的优势从这轮小组中排名第三的球队中脱颖而出。

到目前为止,他们的表现非常糟糕,在首场比赛中输给了像泰国这样的弱队,而且又被沙特阿拉伯以0:2输掉了比赛。

在这两场比赛中出现的问题都是球员的个人失误。在防守、进攻和专注方面,他们在对阵沙特的比赛中得到了两张红牌,产生了0个预期进球,在整场比赛中没有一次射门。

在两场比赛中,他们的计划都是建立一个由5名后卫和4名中场组成的非常防守的体系,但没有成功,因为泰国和沙特阿拉伯都在后卫的后面找到了很多空间,也很容易创造出很多机会。

因为他们需要在这里赢球,他们将被迫使用更具攻击性的体系,所以我预计他们的防守会更差。

另一方面,阿曼需要一场胜利才能出线。在0比0战平泰国后,他们仅积1分,但需要在这里取胜才能从小组赛排名第三的强队中出线。

对泰国的比赛踢得很好,创造了机会,70%的控球率控制了比赛。他们也以2:1输给了沙特阿拉伯,这场比赛踢得很好,在94 '时失球,但他们应该在那里打平。

对于这场比赛,我认为他们会控制比赛,比吉尔吉斯斯坦拥有更多的控球权和机会。

此外,吉尔吉斯斯坦有两名重要球员在本场比赛中停赛。其中一个是后卫,所以他们的后防线在和替补一起打球时会很挣扎。阿曼有更多的实力和动力,所以我认为他们会在这里获胜。

马德里竞技-塞维利亚

马德里竞技非常重视这场比赛。他们在ET中淘汰皇马的表现非常出色,所以都充满了信心。教练西蒙尼的轮换安排得很好,在这场比赛中使用了强大的球员和首发球员。在周末对格拉纳达的比赛中,一些关键球员如科克、德保罗和希门尼斯都休息了,而在这场比赛中,我们期待着一个强大的阵容。

他们状态很好,踢得很好,在进攻端产生了很多。在主场,他们尤其强大,因为他们自一年多前对阵巴塞罗那以来一直保持不败。

攻击手格列兹曼和莫拉塔打出了很高的水平,进了很多球,所以他们充满了信心。

另一方面,塞维利亚是一个烂摊子。他们的注意力肯定集中在西甲,他们离降级区很近,他们需要不惜一切代价避免降级。俱乐部试图换帅,但在基克的带领下,情况还是一样:球队在防守上丢了很多球,缺乏专注和信心,而且在创造机会方面也很困难。

他们在赛季中也遭受了很多伤病,所以球员们已经很疲劳了,也无法进行轮换。在本场比赛中,他们最好的球员——前锋恩内西里将缺席与摩洛哥的非洲杯比赛,而其他首发球员(古德雷、卢卡巴基奥)和其他一些人(Acuña、奥坎波斯)都受伤了。

这个周末他们完全被赫罗纳打败了,赫罗纳5:1击败了他们。最近,马德里竞技也在12月1:0击败了他们,在一场完全控制的比赛中,东道主赢得了当之无愧的胜利。

马竞有更强的实力、动力和信心在这里取胜。此外,我希望他们在正常时间内表现良好,争取赢得比赛,避免再打加时赛,积累不必要的疲劳。

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