Concarneau VS Troyes

Concarneau welcome Troyes for this French Ligue 2 round 21 battle at Stade Guy Piriou early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of French football. The level of this league is pretty high by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of quite average level by this league's standards. Troyes were relegated from the Ligue 1 after last season. They finished in 19th place with 24 points in their pocket and a goal difference of 45:81. They were very unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). The hosts, on the other hand, were promoted from the National where they did play a strong season. However, the level of the third tier is massively worse than that of the Ligue 2. As most of my fans know by now I never let the standings fool me! The hosts are currently in 14th place with 23 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 27.33. However, they have, in all honesty, been a disappointment as a whole but they do have the potential to improve significantly in all areas of the game! They have a lot of quality players in the squad. They have scored many more goals (24) than Concarneau (18). The visitors' number of expected goals (xG) is 26.82. Concarneau's number of xG is only 18.77.. In this area of the game the visitors do have a substantial advantage over Concarneau. The Troyes defence structure has not quite been as solid as it should be so far.. They have allowed 25 goals and their number of expected goals (xGA) is 23.71. The Ajaccio Concarneau defence has been somewhat worse and they have allowed only 27 goals. Their number of xGA is 29.88. Ajaccio have taken 30 points so far and their xPTS is 28.56.

According to a well-known and respected German website the visitors are a much bigger team. The Troyes squad has an estimated value of about 31 million euros. This is a big number by the Ligue 2 standards. The hosts' players have a total market value of only about 10 million. This number is still a little too high. The hosts have been in abysmal form  recently. Indeed, they have won just one of their last eight competitive games! Moreover, they suffered a defeat in six of these eight matches. They are in steep decline. They were poor in their last game – losing to Caen 0-1 away from home. Indeed, the hosts recorded more goal attempts, shots on target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Caen also generated more in xG – 0.87-0.26. In round 19 they were humiliated at home. Indeed, Grenoble beat them 3-0 and the xG numbers were 3.22-1.22. Troyes have been in fine form recently and their record in the last six games is four wins, one draw and one loss. In their last game they were excellent and beat Ajaccio, who are currently in 9th place. 3-1 was the final score. Troyes were narrow underdogs in this game but deserved the three points as they generated 1.70 in xG - Ajaccio managed only 0.50. Before this Troyes beat Versailles 3-2 in a friendly. In round 21 they faced Pau away from home as clear underdogs and it was a 1-1 draw after a relatively balanced game. Pau generated 1.78 in xG – Troyes managed 1.62. The bookies see the hosts as favourites - offering them odds of only about 2.45 to win. Based on my sophisticated analysis Troyes are solid favourites with a 41% chance of winning!

康卡诺VS特鲁瓦

北京时间周三凌晨，孔卡诺欢迎特鲁瓦参加法甲联赛第21轮的比赛。这是法国足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相当高的——我的意思是，对于一个二线球队来说。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准相当平均水平的比赛。特鲁瓦在上个赛季后从法甲降级。他们以24分和45:81的净胜球排名第19位。就期望积分(xPTS)而言，他们非常不走运。另一方面，东道主是从国家联赛中晋级的，他们在国家联赛中表现出色。然而，第三级联赛的水平比法甲差得多。我的大多数粉丝现在都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!东道主目前以23分排名第14位。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)是27.33。然而，老实说，他们整体上是令人失望的，但他们确实有潜力在比赛的各个方面都有很大的提高!他们队中有很多优秀的球员。他们的进球数(24球)比康卡诺(18球)多得多。客队的预期进球数(xG)为26.82。Concarneau的xG数只有18.77。在这方面，客队确实比康卡诺有很大的优势。到目前为止，特鲁瓦的防御结构还没有像它应该的那样坚固。他们丢了25个球，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是23.71个。阿雅克乔·康卡尼奥的防守有些糟糕，他们只丢了27个球。它们的xGA数是29.88。阿雅克肖目前已经拿到了30分，他们的xPTS是28.56。

根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站，游客是一个更大的团队。特鲁瓦队的身价估计约为3100万欧元。以法甲的标准来看，这是一个很大的数字。东道主球员的总市值只有1000万左右。这个数字还是有点高。东道主最近的状态糟透了。事实上，他们在最近的八场比赛中只赢了一场!此外，他们在这八场比赛中有六场失利。它们正在急剧下降。他们在上一场比赛中表现不佳，客场0-1输给了卡昂。事实上，东道主的进球次数、射正次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。Caen在xG - 0.87-0.26中也产生了更多。在第19轮比赛中，他们在主场被羞辱。事实上，格勒诺布尔以3比0击败了他们，xG数字是3.22-1.22。特鲁瓦最近状态很好，他们最近6场比赛的战绩是4胜1平1负。在上一场比赛中，他们表现出色，击败了目前排名第九的阿雅克肖。3比1是最后的比分。在这场比赛中，特鲁瓦勉强处于劣势，但他们理应得到三分，因为他们在全场比赛中贡献了1.70分，而阿雅克肖只贡献了0.50分。在此之前，特鲁瓦在一场友谊赛中以3比2击败了凡尔赛。在第21轮的比赛中，他们在客场面对保罗，显然处于劣势，在一场相对平衡的比赛后，他们以1比1战平。保罗在xG中获得了1.78分，特鲁瓦获得了1.62分。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的——给他们的赔率只有2.45左右。根据我精密的分析，特鲁瓦有41%的获胜机会!