In my opinion Real Madrid have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

First leg match finished with draw 1:1. That was very close game and I expect another big fight today. Match in London, but in current situation home ground is not so big advantage, that's why I don't understand these odds. I believe this is typical 50/50 match, Chelsea is not that big fav here.

Chelsea is in good form since Tuchel came to the club, but they don't have big experience on this level. Offensive trio Pulisic/Havertz/Mout is very young, all of them U23. Is big difference in comparison to Real Madrid stars like Kroos, Benzema or Sergio Ramos - multiple big title winners. Experience could play big factor today. Zinedine Zidane as well is big match coach and he have Champions League titles under his belt (he played 3 semifinals and won all of them). For Tuchel it's still new territory - he played in Final with PSG last year, bur lose there and for sure he is not so confident like Zidane.

I don't see advantage for Chelsea in the middle zone as Real trio Kroos/Casemiro/Modric is simply top class. Like I mentioned before Chelsea offensive formation is very young and without big experience on this level, on the other hand Real Madrid legendary central defender Sergio Ramos should be very hard nut to crack for them. At the moment the most important player for Real Madrid is striker Karim Benzema, he is in great shape and I see big problems for Thiago Silva to stop him - he overplayed in last weeks and tiredness might be problematic, especially when You have to play against top class striker like Benzema.

I simply don't see Chelsea as a such big favorite here. In my opinion Chelsea should be priced around 2.50/2.60 - in that case we can find excellent value on Real.

在我看来，皇马在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免输球。

第一回合比赛以1:1平局结束。那是一场势均力敌的比赛，我预计今天还会有一场激烈的交战。但在目前的情况下主场并没有那么大的优势，这就是为什么我不理解本场的指数。我认为这是一场五五开的比赛，切尔西并不是赢球的热门。

自从图赫尔来到切尔西后，切尔西的状态一直很好，但他们在这方面的经验并不丰富。进攻三叉戟普利西奇/哈弗茨/芒特都很年轻。与皇马球星克罗斯、本泽马或塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯相比有很大的不同——这些都是冠军球员。经验在这场比赛起着重要作用。齐达内也是大赛型的教练，他打了三场半决赛都赢了。对图赫尔来说，这仍然是一个新的挑战——他去年带领巴黎圣日耳曼打进决赛，但输掉了比赛，他不像齐达内那样自信。

我不认为切尔西在中区有什么优势，因为皇家三名中场克罗斯/卡塞米罗/莫德里奇是顶级球员。正如我之前提到的，切尔西的进攻阵型非常年轻，在这方面没有丰富的经验，另一方面，皇马传奇中后卫塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯对他们来说应该是一个很难破解的难题。目前皇马最重要的球员是前锋本泽马，他状态很好，我认为蒂亚戈·席尔瓦很难阻止他——他在过去几周频繁出场，疲劳可能是个问题，尤其是面对本泽马这样的顶级前锋时。

我不认为切尔西可以取胜。在我看来，切尔西的指数应该在2.50/2.60左右——我们可以在皇马身上得到很好的价值。