Bristol Rovers VS Blackpool

Bristol City welcome Blackpool for this English League One round 29 battle at Memorial Stadium late Saturday evening Beijing time. However, in reality the hosts have played 25 games and the visitors only 27 so far. This is the third tier of English football. The level of this league is very high by European standards – for a third fourth I mean. The players are full time professionals and some are even paid pretty well. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. The visitors were relegated from the Championship to this level after a disappointing last season. However, they were not the worst team in the Championship last season and were also unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have needed five or six more points to avoid relegation. They have unarguably been a slight disappointment as a whole so far this season. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating as the season has progressed – but seemingly less than the bookies. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a grueling match schedule. Blackpool currently occupy the 6th place in this rating. The hosts, on the other hand, are in 12th place. The hosts currently occupy the 11th place in the standings but have been a little lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, they would have deserved only around 31 or 32 points. They have netted the ball 35 times and their number of expected goals (xG) is 32.46. Bristol City have conceded 35 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 37.76. With the expected lineups the hosts cannot match Blackpool in any area of the game.

Bristol City have been in poor form lately and are probably not high in confidence.. Indeed, they have suffered three defeats and played one draw in their last four games. In their last game they were not but as a whole but their defence was poorly organized and looked very shaky. They ended up losing to Norwich 1-3 at home as narrow underdogs on the betting market. It was a FA Cup clash. Before this they lost to Barnsley 1-2 away from home. Bristol had their chances but Barnsley did generate more in xG and deserved the narrow win. Blackpool, on the other hand, are in the 8th place in the league table. They have taken a respectable 42 points but their number of xPTS is 47.98. They have a good goal difference of 42:32. Furthermore, their number of xG is 46.12 and xGA is 30.12. They can definitely improve in all areas of the game as the season progresses and I do trust their manager. They have been in good form lately – losing just one of their most recent five games. This loss came earlier this week in a FA Cup clash at home against Nottingham, a decent Premier League team. They fought well coming back from 0-2 in the second half but Nottingham showed their class in extra time – winning 3-2. Blackpool were, of course, clear underdogs in this game and I was happy with their performance as a whole. The bookies see this game as a very balanced one but based on my expert analysis Blackpool are solid favourites - and have a 42% chance of winning. We will take the Blackpool +0.5 goals handicap to once again betting on League One!

布里斯托流浪者VS布莱克浦

北京时间周六晚，布里斯托尔城将在纪念体育场迎来英格兰联赛第29轮对阵布莱克浦的比赛。然而，到目前为止，东道主已经打了25场比赛，而客队只打了27场。这是英国足球的第三梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是非常高的——我的意思是，对于第三、四分之一的联赛来说。这些球员都是全职的职业球员，有些人的薪水甚至相当高。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。客队在经历了令人失望的上个赛季后从英冠降级到这个级别。然而，他们并不是上赛季英冠最差的球队，在期望积分(xPTS)方面也不太走运。他们还需要5到6分才能保级。毫无疑问，这个赛季到目前为止，他们整体上有点令人失望。因此，随着赛季的进展，我已经降低了他们的能力评级——但似乎比博彩公司要低。这一排名反映了球队的纯粹等级——排除了激励因素和可能的疲劳——由紧张的赛程引起的。布莱克浦目前在该排名中排名第六。另一方面，东道主排在第12位。东道主目前在积分榜上排名第11位，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面有点幸运。事实上，他们只配得31或32分。他们有35次进球，他们的期望进球(xG)是32.46。布里斯托尔城已经丢了35个球，他们的预期失球数(xGA)是37.76。按照预期的阵容，主队在比赛的任何领域都无法与布莱克浦匹敌。

布里斯托尔城最近状态不佳，可能信心不高。事实上，他们在最近的四场比赛中遭遇了三场失利和一场平局。在上一场比赛中，他们整体上不是很好，但他们的防守组织得很差，看起来很不稳定。他们最终在主场1-3输给了诺维奇，在博彩市场上处于劣势。这是一场足总杯比赛。在此之前，他们客场1-2不敌巴恩斯利。布里斯托尔也有机会，但巴恩斯利在上一场比赛中创造了更多机会，他们理应险胜。另一方面，布莱克浦在积分榜上排名第八。他们拿到了可观的42分，但他们的积分只有47.98分。他们的净胜球差为42:32。xG为46.12,xGA为30.12。随着赛季的进行，他们在比赛的各个方面都有进步，我相信他们的教练。他们最近状态不错，最近五场比赛只输了一场。这场失利发生在本周早些时候的足总杯主场对阵英超强队诺丁汉的比赛中。他们在下半场从0-2逆转，但诺丁汉在加时赛中以3-2获胜。当然，布莱克浦在这场比赛中明显处于劣势，我对他们的整体表现感到满意。博彩公司认为这场比赛是一场非常平衡的比赛，但根据我的专家分析，布莱克浦是最受欢迎的球队，有42%的获胜机会。我们将以布莱克浦+0.5球的劣势再次投注英甲!