In my opinion Bristol Rovers have really good chances to at least avoid loss in this game.

First match between both teams finished with a draw 1:1, now time for revenge on Rovers stadium.

For sure, home ground should make a big difference today. In the current season Bristol is rock-solid in front of the home crowd. They lost only once in 11 home league matches. Tickets for this game are sold out so we can expect a special atmosphere under the floodlights. Bristol is in the middle of the table in League One so they have slim chances to get promotion to Championship or so, but everyone in the club is looking deep in the FA Cup. In the next round Bristol might play against Liverpool on the Anfield Road. For sure all players come for this game with huge motivation to achieve that. At the weekend Bristol played on the road against top5 Barnsley. Match finished with a loss 1:2, but that wasn't a deserved result at all. Bristol had higher expected goals scored value than opponents. Now Rovers are back home and they want to bounce back on a good track.

Norwich at the weekend recorded a 2:1 win on the road against Hull, but that wasn't a fully deserved result. That was the first win after 4 consecutive matches without 3 points. Norwich's form is not great. This is one of the reasons why Norwich coach David Wagner is under constant pressure and many supporters don’t want to continue with him on the team bench. Norwich still have decent chances for top6 at the end of the season so for sure the FA Cup is not the highest priority on their list. In the first match between both teams we saw 9 changes in lineup in comparison to the league squad. I expect rotation also today. Norwich have a very important league game at the weekend. In addition to that, they have played Premier League many times in recent years so I don’t think the team is so excited about the possibility of playing against Liverpool.

In those circumstances I see great value on the home side.

在我看来，布里斯托流浪者至少有很好的机会在这场比赛中避免输球。

两队的第一场比赛以1:1战平，现在是在流浪者球场复仇的时候了。

可以肯定的是，主场今天会有很大的不同。在本赛季，布里斯托尔在主场球迷面前坚如磐石。他们在11场主场比赛中只输了一场。这场比赛的门票已经售罄，所以我们可以期待在泛光灯下的特殊气氛。布里斯托尔目前在英甲排名中游，所以他们升入英冠的机会很小，但俱乐部的每个人都在关注足总杯。下一轮布里斯托尔可能在安菲尔德路对阵利物浦。当然，所有的球员都带着巨大的动力来参加这场比赛。周末布里斯托尔在客场对阵排名前五的巴恩斯利。比赛以1:2的比分结束，但这根本不是一个应得的结果。布里斯托尔的预期进球价值高于对手。现在流浪者回到了家乡，他们想要在一个好的轨道上反弹。

诺维奇在周末客场2:1战胜赫尔城，但这并不是一个完全应得的结果。这是连续4场比赛未得3分后的首场胜利。诺维奇的状态不是很好。这也是诺维奇主帅大卫·瓦格纳一直承受压力的原因之一，许多球迷不想让他继续坐在球队的板凳上。诺维奇在赛季结束后仍然有很好的机会进入前6，所以足总杯肯定不是他们的首要任务。在两队的第一场比赛中，我们看到了与联赛阵容相比的9个阵容变化。我也期待今天的轮换。诺维奇在周末有一场非常重要的联赛。除此之外，他们近年来在英超打了很多场比赛，所以我不认为球队会对对阵利物浦的可能性感到兴奋。

在这种情况下，我看到了主队的巨大价值。