Tranmere Rovers VS Milton Keynes Dons

Tranmere and MK Dons lock horns in this League Two round 28 battle at Prenton Park in Birkenhead late Saturday evening Beijing time. However, the hosts have played 27 games and the visitors only 24 so far. This is the fourth tier of English football. The level of this league is very high by European standards – for a second fourth I mean. The players are full time professionals. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this league's standards. The visitors were relegated from the League One to this level after a horrible last season. They have unarguably been a disappointment as a whole so far this season. I have, as a result, significantly lowered their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. MK Dons currently occupy the 9th place in this rating. The hosts, on the other hand, are in 11th place. Last season they finished in 12th place in the standings but were unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). This has been the case this season as well. Indeed, they currently occupy the 16th place with 33 points to their account. However, their number of xPTS is 38.01. They have a pretty good score difference of 42:40. Their number of expected goals (xG) is marginally higher. The visitors have netted the ball 39 times and their xG is 39.45. Tranmere do not have any really big names in offense but have many fast and skilled offensive players and a great offensive structure. I also trust their manager in terms of tactical skills and as a leader too. He would deserve more respect!

Their defence has not been great though as silly mistakes have been too common but they can improve in this area of the game as the season progresses. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 36.54. MK Dons have conceded 31 goals and their number of xGA is 33.66. They are in 8th place in the league table with 39 points and their number of xPTS is 37.98 – more per game than the hosts. By pure class they have a tiny edge over Tranmere. Even so, with the expected lineups – taking the home advantage and recent performances into account Tranmere are the favourites and we will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap. The bookies see MK Dons as favourites – perhaps they give the standings too much emphasis.. Tranmere have been on fire at Prenton Park recently in front of their loud fans! They have won four home games in a row – scoring a total of 11 goals. MK Dons have won just two of their last games on the road. Both teams have taken four wins in their most recent five matches and lost their last game. I need to mention that MK Dons were abysmal away from home losing to Doncaster (19th place) 0-3 away from home as clear favourites on the betting market. They had 71% ball possession but recorded only 0.31 in xG – the hosts managed 1.87. This was yet another example of the bookies overvaluing MK Dons..

特兰米尔流浪者VS米尔顿凯恩斯流浪者

北京时间周六晚，在伯肯黑德的普伦顿公园，特兰米尔和MK唐斯将在英乙第28轮激战。然而，到目前为止，东道主已经打了27场比赛，而客队只打了24场。这是英国足球的第四梯队。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平是非常高的——我的意思是，对于第二个第四名来说。这些球员都是全职的专业人士。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。客队在经历了糟糕的上个赛季后从英甲降级到这个级别。毫无疑问，这个赛季到目前为止，他们是一个令人失望的整体。因此，随着赛季的进展，我大大降低了他们的能量评级。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹级别——不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。MK Dons目前在该排名中排名第9位。另一方面，东道主排在第11位。上个赛季，他们在积分榜上排名第12位，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面并不走运。本赛季也是如此。事实上，他们目前以33分排名第16位。但是，他们的xPTS数量为38.01。他们的分数差很大，42:40。他们的预期目标数量(xG)略高。客队的进球次数为39次，净胜率为39.45。特兰米尔在进攻端并没有什么大牌球员，但他们有很多速度快、技术娴熟的进攻球员，他们的进攻结构也很好。我也相信他们的教练的战术技巧和领导能力。他应该得到更多的尊重!

他们的防守不是很好，因为愚蠢的错误太常见了，但随着赛季的进展，他们可以在这方面有所提高。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是36.54。米兰队丢了31个球，进球数为33.66个。他们以39分排名联赛第8位，场均得分为37.98分，比东道主多。就纯粹的阶级而言，他们比特兰米尔略胜一筹。即便如此，考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场优势和最近的表现，特兰米尔是最受欢迎的，我们将以+0.5的进球优势来考虑他们。博彩公司认为MK - Dons是最受欢迎的——也许他们过于强调排名了。特兰米尔最近在普伦顿公园球场，在他们喧闹的球迷面前火了起来!他们已经连续赢得了四场主场比赛，总共进了11个球。切尔西队在最近的客场比赛中只赢了两场。两队在最近的5场比赛中都取得了4胜，并输掉了上一场比赛。我需要提到的是，在客场0-3输给唐卡斯特(第19名)是赌博市场上明显的热门。他们有71%的控球率，但在全场比赛中只有0.31个球，而主队的控球率为1.87。这是另一个博彩公司高估MK的例子。