Panathinaikos VS Panaitolikos Agrinio

Panathinaikos welcome Panetolikos for this Greek Super League round 17 battle at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium in Athens late Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is of slightly better than average level by European standards. We can expect a somewhat one-sided game here. Indeed, the hosts are one of the biggest teams in Greece. However, Panetolikos are definitely not a bad team! They will surely defend very hard here – quite possibly with at least 10 men for the most of the 90 minutes of play. They are expected to mainly rely on fast counter attacks, corners, free kicks – or a possible penalty to score here. They would certainly be happy with a draw.. My fans and I do not, of course, need them to score to win with the recommended +2.5 goals handicap. The chance of winning once again betting on this league is over 70%. I want to highlight that there are no spectators allowed at the stadium! This makes the home advantage almost non-existent – as we saw during the Covid-19 when a large number of games were played without fans. I believe the bookies and recreational bettors fail to give this factor enough emphasis here. Having no fans affects the bigger handicaps in particular as often the motivation for a heavy home favourite to keep scoring when having a lead by a margin is to entertain the fans.

Panathinaikos currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings. They have 37 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 33.12 to be precise. They have not been in strong form recently. Indeed, they have lost four of their last seven games! In their last game they did, however, beat Giannina at home 2-0 as gigantic favourites on the betting market. Indeed, they were priced below 1.20 to win. Yes, they deserved to win but generated only 0.79 in expected goals (xG). The visitors, too, had their chances and recorded seven shots on goal and 0.47 in xG. The visitors have been in fine form – not losing any of their last five games! Moreover, they have not lost any of their last 11 games by a margin of more than two goals. In their last game they beat Panserraikos 3-2 at home and deserved the three points. They had many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in xG – 2.43-1.66 to be precise. They are in 10th place place in the league table with a decent 14 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS 17.03. In round 4 Panathinaikos beat Panetolikos 5-0 away from home but this result is very misleading. The visitors generated "only" 2.23 in xG – Panetolikos managed 0.87 and also had 11 goal attempts. I believe this game affects the odds too much here..

Panathinaikos VS Panaitolikos aginio

北京时间周日晚，帕纳辛纳科斯欢迎帕内托利科斯参加希腊超级联赛第17轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平略高于平均水平。我们可以预见这将是一场一边倒的比赛。的确，东道主是希腊最大的球队之一。然而，Panetolikos绝对不是一支糟糕的球队!他们肯定会在这里努力防守——很可能在90分钟的大部分时间里至少有10个人。他们主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球——或者可能的点球来得分。他们当然会对平局感到高兴。当然，我和我的球迷不需要他们进球来赢得推荐的+2.5进球障碍。在这个联赛中再次获胜的几率超过70%。我要强调的是，体育场不允许观众进入!这使得主场优势几乎不存在——正如我们在Covid-19期间看到的那样，大量比赛在没有球迷的情况下进行。我认为，博彩公司和娱乐赌徒在这里没有给予这个因素足够的重视。没有球迷尤其会影响更大的差点，因为主场大热门在领先的情况下继续得分的动机往往是为了取悦球迷。

帕纳辛纳科斯目前在积分榜上排名第二。他们的账户上有37分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)较低，准确地说是33.12。他们最近状态不佳。事实上，他们在过去的七场比赛中输了四场!然而，在上一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比0击败了吉安尼纳，成为博彩市场上的大热门。事实上，它们的定价低于1.20才赢了。是的，他们理应获胜，但预期进球数仅为0.79。客队也有机会，他们有7次射正，射门0.47次。客队状态很好，最近五场比赛一场都没输!此外，他们在最近11场比赛中没有输掉超过2球的比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场3-2击败了Panserraikos，理应得到三分。他们有更多的进球尝试，射门，射门，进攻和危险的进攻。准确地说，它们在xG - 2.43-1.66中也产生了更多。他们在积分榜上排名第十，已经拿到了14分。它们的xPTS数量为17.03。在第4轮，帕纳辛纳科斯客场5-0击败帕内托利科斯，但这个结果很容易误导人。客队在xG比赛中“只”创造了2.23个进球，帕内托利科斯创造了0.87个进球，并且有11次进球尝试。我认为这场比赛对赔率的影响太大了。