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A routine win by 2 goals? 西甲 皇马VS马洛卡

2024-01-03

比赛分析

解读理由


Real Madrid is always Real Madrid, but there have been so many mediocre performances and injuries that I can not get excited over such big handicaps for them.

Real did win also last round, but after a lot of difficulties, and the winner came after 90 minutes of regular time.


The xG-numbers are always misleading and a subject for interpretation. Some other sources have seen Alaves as the more likely winner, and why not so as there was a red card for defender Nacho early on 2ns half. He is not the only defensive absentee here, as Militao finally got a knee operation and will be out for months, keeper Courtois and defender Alaba are out for all season.

Who will be the centerbacks then tonight? Tchoumeni will join Rudiger perhaps? Maybe we will see Arda Guler finally getting some minutes too as Vinicius, Camavinga, Mendy and even Carvajal are more or less likely rested, there are other important matches coming up fast, and I do not mean the easy cup match vs lower league club Arandina on the weekend, but the Supercup semifinal vs Atletico Madrid in a week's time!

Possible starting lineup:

Lunin; Carvajal, Rüdiger, Tchouaméni, Fran García; Valverde, Kroos, Modric, Bellingham; Rodrygo y Brahim.

Mallorca have specialized in draws, they are 3-9-6 after 18 rounds, so there has been a draw in 50% of their matches so far. Out of the 6 losses they have lost twice by this handicap, away at Girona and Betis, but it is two months since a big loss, and it seems they have found some form lately as they are last 5 games without a loss!

Mallorca are 14th in the table with 18 points, but the xG-data suggests them several points more, and they have not very luck in the even matches so far, and have even missed more penalties than scored, so there is a plenty of room for improvement.


The opponents have been easier than Real Madrid tonight, as Real are not very impressive and miss such a big number of key players I do see an easy night at Bernabeu.

Mallorca miss Valjant and Muriqi due to injury, Jaume Costa is suspended so the possible lineup could be something like this:

Rajkovic; Maffeo, Gio González, Raíllo, Nastasic, Lato; Dani Rodríguez, Samú Costa, Morlanes, Antonio Sánchez ; Larin.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:


皇马一直都是皇马,但是有太多平庸的表现和伤病,我不能为他们如此大的障碍感到兴奋。

皇马在上一轮也取得了胜利,但在经历了很多困难之后,在常规时间90分钟后取得了胜利。


x - g数字总是会引起误解,并成为解释的对象。其他一些消息来源认为阿拉维斯更有可能获胜,为什么不呢,因为下半场早些时候后卫纳乔吃了一张红牌。他并不是唯一缺阵的后卫,因为米里托终于接受了膝盖手术,将缺席几个月,门将库尔图瓦和后卫阿拉巴整个赛季都将缺席。

谁是今晚的中后卫?Tchoumeni可能会加入Rudiger ?也许我们会看到阿尔达·古勒最终也得到一些上场时间,因为维尼修斯、卡马文加、门迪甚至卡瓦哈尔或多或少都有可能休息,还有其他重要的比赛即将到来,我不是指周末对阵低级别联赛球队阿兰迪纳的轻松比赛,而是一周后对阵马德里竞技的超级杯半决赛!

可能的首发阵容:

Lunin;Carvajal, r<s:1> diger, tchouamsamini, Fran García;巴尔韦德、克罗斯、莫德里奇、贝灵汉;罗德里戈·卜拉欣。

马洛卡擅长平局,他们在18轮比赛中取得了3胜9负6负的战绩,所以到目前为止,他们有50%的比赛是平局。在6场失利中,他们输掉了两场,分别是客场对赫罗纳和贝蒂斯,但距离一场大败已经过去两个月了,他们最近似乎找到了一些状态,因为他们最近5场比赛都没有输球!

马洛卡目前积18分排在积分榜第14位,但从xg数据来看,他们的积分要高出几分,而且他们在目前的平局中运气不太好,罚丢的点球甚至比进球还多,因此他们还有很大的提升空间。


今晚的对手比皇马更容易对付,因为皇马并没有给人留下深刻的印象,而且缺少了这么多的关键球员,我认为在伯纳乌会是一个轻松的夜晚。

马略卡队的瓦尔扬特和穆里奇因伤缺阵,科斯塔将停赛,因此可能的首发阵容是这样的:

苦;马菲奥,吉奥González, Raíllo,纳斯塔西奇,拉托;达尼Rodríguez, Samú科斯塔,莫兰斯,安东尼奥Sánchez;Larin。

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