In my opinion Paris Saint Germain is clear favorite of this game and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals difference. -1.5 AH looks like great option to play.

1. Team from Paris have huge mental advantage before this game because superb h2h record against Toulouse. PSG won 21 of last 25 matches against them.

2. PSG have the best offensive formation in Ligue 1. It's very visible in expected goals scored table. PSG is on first place with 36.2 expected goals scored, Marseille on 2nd place have 'only' 28.3.

3. According to the expected goals conceded model Toulouse is second-worst team in Ligue 1. Only Nantes have higher number in that department. I expect huge troubles against PSG firepower.

4. Team from Paris today with the strongest possible line up. All key players from current season are available so we should see high quality performance.

5. Toulouse coming for this game without their best player in current season (according to the ratings) midfielder Schmidt. They are also without key defenders Costa & Desler, important midfielder Bangre and third-best scorer Aboukhlal. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today, no doubt about that.

On those circumstances I see routine win for PSG.

在我看来，巴黎圣日耳曼显然是这场比赛的热门，他们应该能够以至少2球的差距轻松获胜。-1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

1. 来自巴黎的球队在这场比赛前有着巨大的心理优势，因为他们在对阵图卢兹的比赛中取得了出色的战绩。巴黎圣日耳曼在过去25场比赛中赢了21场。

2. 巴黎圣日耳曼拥有法甲最好的进攻阵型。这在预期进球表中很明显。巴黎圣日耳曼排名第一，预期进球数为36.2个，马赛排名第二，“只有”28.3个。

3. 根据预期失球模型，图卢兹是法甲倒数第二的球队。只有南特在这方面有更多的人。我预计对阵PSG的火力会有很大的麻烦。

4. 今天来自巴黎的队伍拥有最强阵容。本赛季的所有关键球员都可以上场，所以我们应该会看到高质量的表现。

5. 图卢兹在这场比赛中没有他们本赛季最好的中场球员施密特(根据收视率)。他们也没有关键后卫科斯塔和德斯勒，重要的中场班戈和第三射手阿布赫拉尔。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响，毫无疑问。

在这种情况下，我认为巴黎圣日耳曼会取得常规的胜利。