In my opinion Bournemouth have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Bournemouth don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they won 3:0 at home against Fulham. Team is in superb form. Everything clicking together. Since loss against Manchester City, Bournemouth won 6 of last 7 Premier League matches and coming for this game with 4 consecutive wins. It's not coincidence. According to the expected points model, they are the best team in Premier League since start of November (!!!).

In last home game Tottenham won 2:1 against Everton, but that wasn't fully deserved as they had lower expected goals scored number than opponents. In last round Tottenham recorded painful 2:4 loss on the road against Brighton and I expect huge troubles for them today. Tottenham again is without pair of key central defenders Van de Ven & Romero. They are also without central midfielders Bissouma and Bentancur. Is hard to imagine clean sheet for Tottenham.. Bournemouth scored more than one goal in last 7 rounds so why not today? Since start of November Bournemouth have 2.09 expected goals scored per game, Tottenham in last 9 matches had 2.46 expected goals conceded per game. I really can imagine more than one goal for guests. Their striker Solanke is in red-hot form. 8 goals in last 7 matches.

On the other hand I don't see easy goals for home side. Tottenham is still without their game creator Maddison, but also their best offensive player in last month - Kulusevski, is suspended today. It's big blow and should have very bad impact on their performance. Bournemouth kept clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches and I saw there some consistency and stability. Since start of November Bournemouth have 0.99 expected goals conceded per game. I don't see more than one goal for hosts today.

On those circumstances double chance on Bournemouth looks like superb option to play.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

在我看来，伯恩茅斯在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

伯恩茅斯没有任何新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮主场3:0战胜富勒姆时一模一样。球队的状态非常好。一切都在一起。在输给曼城之后，伯恩茅斯在最近的7场英超比赛中赢了6场，并且在这场比赛中取得了4连胜。这不是巧合。根据预期积分模型，他们是自11月初以来英超最好的球队(!!)

在上一场主场比赛中，热刺2:1战胜埃弗顿，但这并不完全值得，因为他们的预期进球数低于对手。上一轮托特纳姆在客场2:4惨败于布莱顿，我预计他们今天会有大麻烦。热刺再次失去了一对关键的中卫范德文和罗梅罗。他们也失去了中场比苏马和本坦库尔。很难想象热刺能不失球。伯恩茅斯在过去的7轮比赛中进了不止一个球，为什么今天不进呢?自11月初以来，伯恩茅斯的场均预期进球数为2.09，热刺近9场比赛的场均预期失球数为2.46。我真的可以想象客人的目标不止一个。他们的前锋索兰克状态火热。最近7场比赛打进8球。

另一方面，我不认为主队能轻易进球。热刺仍然没有他们的游戏创造者麦迪森，但他们上个月最好的进攻球员库卢塞夫斯基今天被停赛。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。伯恩茅斯在过去的4场比赛中有3场没有失球，我看到了他们的稳定性和稳定性。自11月初以来，伯恩茅斯场均预期失球数为0.99。我认为东道主今天只能进一个球。

在这种情况下，对伯恩茅斯的双倍机会看起来是一个很好的选择。

12月31日热刺 VS 伯恩茅斯比赛分析直播