Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

Big Sam effect? 英超分享 利物浦vs西布朗

2020-12-27

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期一2020-12-28 00:30

解读理由

Obviously everything points into a Liverpool win and I am not questioning that. Only the odds for a marginal and decent loss with a good price!

There is not much we don’t know about Liverpool, but a short look at xG stats

很明显,一切都指向利物浦的胜利,我不怀疑这一点。但指数有些异常

关于利物浦,我们知道的不多,我们来看看统计数据

tells us that they still are not quite as good as the results show. In the actual table they have 31 points with a 36 - 19 goal difference, something like 26 points with a 29-19 would be more accurate. Of course, the difference is the clinical finishers! Last 0-7 win was a great example of that.

They have been suberb home and away, last home loss in the EPL happened in April 2017 vs Palace, since then Liverpool are unbeaten in 66 games. However in CL they lost to Atalanta a month ago, so they are not unbeatable! In the match vs Spurs it was actually Tottenham who had the better chances at 1-1 situation.

Can they concentrate fully vs expectedly weaker opponent WBA?

WBA are naturally no Atalanta and offensively they are weak. In the last 7 matches they have won only bottom team Sheffield Utd, and all of this lead to a managerial change. Slaven Bilic made room to Sam Allardyce, a coach who may seem like a dinosaur, but who has a good track record in keeping his team in the EPL. (Everton, Palace, West Ham, Newcastle..) In his first game he lost to Villa 0-3 at home, but it was decided early on with a red card to Livermore. A match that is best forgotten. Livermore naturally suspended today, but their most skillful maestro with a ball Pereira returns from suspension and will have a key role, and along with Furlong they create the most of the WBA’s few chances.

图上告诉我们,利物浦仍然没有结果显示的那么好。目前他们有31分和36 -19个球的差距,根据数据计算26分和29-19个球的差距可能更准确。当然,其中还包括上次0-7的胜利

他们在主场和客场都表现出色,上次在英超主场失利是在2017年4月对阵水晶宫,从那以后,利物浦在66场比赛中保持不败。然而他们在一个月前输给了亚特兰大,所以他们不是不可战胜的!在对阵热刺的比赛中,实际上托特纳姆在1-1的情况下有更好的机会。

他们能完全集中精力对付预期中较弱的对手西布朗吗?

西布朗天生就没有亚特兰大,他们的进攻也很弱。在过去的7场比赛中,他们只赢了垫底的谢菲尔德联队,所有这些都导致了管理层的变动。斯拉文·比利奇给阿勒代斯腾出了位置,阿勒代斯虽然看起来像个恐龙,但带队取得了不错的成绩。(埃弗顿,水晶宫,西汉姆联,纽卡斯尔…)在他的第一场比赛中,他在主场0-3输给了维拉,但这在一开始就被利弗莫尔的红牌决定了。一场最好忘记的比赛。利弗莫尔今天自然停赛了,但是他们最有技术的持球大师佩雷拉从停赛中回来,并将扮演关键角色,他们和弗隆一起创造了WBA为数不多的机会。

WBA are not a good team, but they have lost this handicap only 2 times in last 7 games, and both of them at home.

西布朗不是一支好球队,但是他们在过去7场比赛中只输掉了2次,而且都是在主场。

A lot of LIverpool injuries still and everyone has been waiting for when it shows on the pitch as so many classy defending players are out. So far it has not, but Liverpool are riding their luck, and in case WBA improve from the horrible game and keeper Johnstone can repeat the performance he gave vs Man City they have a minor chance even to get a point here!

利物浦仍然有很多伤病,每个人都在等待着,当那么多优秀的防守球员缺席。到目前为止还没有,但是利物浦正在依靠他们的运气,如果西布朗在这场可怕的比赛中有所进步,而且如果门将约翰斯通可以再现对阵曼城时的表现,他们甚至还有机会拿到一分!

比分参考 1-1

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。