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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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What will happen today at London stadium 西汉姆联vs布莱顿

2020-12-27

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2020-12-27 22:15

解读理由

In my opinion Brighton have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

West Ham don't likes to play against Brighton - they played 6 times against them in Premier League and they never won. Last match between both teams at this stadium in February finished with draw 3:3, but Brighton deserved for something more - they had 65% ball possession, 7 shots more and had more big chances to score.

In previous season West Ham avoided relegation by small margin. They started current season in good style, but still I don't trust for them, especially for their manager David Moyes. With him on the bench West Ham is not material for top half of the table. I saw their last two matches and twice they looked very poor and they had problems with creativity. Home game against Crystal Palace finished with draw 1:1, but West Ham played worse - expected goals scored for West Ham 0.61, for Crystal Palace 1.30. In last round West Ham they've been trashed 0:3 by Chelsea and they even not recorded a single shot on target in that game. Key left defender Masuaku is unavailable. Key striker Antonio and key offensive midfielder Lanzini are doubtful.

Brighton key right midfielder Lamptey is doubtful, but they don't have any other serious absences before today's match. Brighton is only 2 points above relegation zone and 9 points behind West Ham, but they plays much better than their results shows. Brighton so far scored 16 goals, but they should score more - according to expected goals scored table they should have 22.3 goals. On the other hand they conceded 22 goals, but they should concede less - according to expected goals conceded table they should concede only 16.9. Brighton lost only 3 of last 10 Premier League matches, but only against stronger teams than West Ham - Leicester, Southampton and Tottenham. They were able to avoid loss against Liverpool. In last round match Brighton played on very high level at both sides of the pitch against Sheffield and I really don't know how they failed to win (1:1) - expected goals scored for Brighton 3.01(!), for Sheffield 0.52. If they continue play this way today, they should make a lot of troubles for hosts.

I trust for Brighton here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,布莱顿队在这场比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

西汉姆不喜欢和布莱顿打比赛——他们在英超联赛中和布莱顿打了6次,但从未赢过。2月份在这个球场上两队的最后一场比赛以3:3的平局结束,但布莱顿队值得拥有更多——他们有65%的控球率,7次射门和更多的进球机会。

在上个赛季,西汉姆以微弱的优势避免了降级。他们本赛季开局不错,但我还是不信任他们,尤其是他们的主教练莫耶斯。有了他在替补席上,西汉姆不是上半席的材料。我看了他们最近的两场比赛,有两次他们看起来很差,而且他们的创造力有问题。主场对阵水晶宫的比赛以1:1的平局结束,但是西汉姆的表现更差——西汉姆的预期进球为0.61,水晶宫为1.30。在上一轮西汉姆被切尔西0:3击败,他们甚至连一个射正的记录都没有。左后卫Masuaku不可用。关键前锋安东尼奥和关键进攻中场兰奇尼都不确定。

布莱顿的关键右中场兰普提还不确定,但是在今天的比赛之前他们没有任何其他严重的缺阵。布莱顿只比降级区高2分,比西汉姆落后9分,但他们的表现比他们的结果要好得多。布莱顿队到目前为止进了16个球,但是他们应该进更多——根据预期进球表,他们应该进22.3个球。另一方面,他们丢了22个球,但是他们应该少丢一些——根据预期的丢球表,他们应该只丢16.9个球。布莱顿在过去10场英超比赛中只输了3场,但对手都是比西汉姆强的球队——莱斯特、南安普顿和热刺。他们在与利物浦的比赛中避免了失败。在上一轮对阵谢菲尔德的比赛中,布莱顿在双方的表现都非常出色,我真的不知道他们为什么没能赢(1:1)——布莱顿的预期进球是3.01(!),谢菲尔德是0.52。如果他们今天继续这样打球,他们会给东道主带来很多麻烦。

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