The best bet for this Saturday is Chaves -1 above par, without a doubt. I will explain the reasons here.

1st Reason: Quality difference between the teams. Chaves is one of the strongest teams in this second league, they bet hard to get promotion to the first league. While Mafra is a team in the middle of the table, they are not the weakest but they are also not of sufficient quality to dream of the first places.

2nd Reason: Shape, Chaves comes at a great time. It was 5 consecutive victories until last weekend's defeat. But it was a good football game against Academica de Coimbra, which is also fighting for promotion. It fell to the Academica side but it could have been to their side. Mafra, on the other hand, seems to have already given up the championship and is playing for playing. They are no longer at risk of relegation and also fail to get the promotion. There are only 2 wins in the last 21 games.

3rd reason: Must win. As I said, Mafra no longer has goals in the championship, but Chaves is bound to win. Estoril already got the promotion and now there are two places open with 4 games to go. The second place gives the direct promotion and the third a playoff against the 16th classified in the first league. They are 3 points behind the third placed so with 4 games to end the championship, they can't waste more points, they need to win the 4 games.

Chaves is much technically stronger, has a good shape and desperately needs victory while Mafra is no longer playing for anything.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

本周六最好的选择是查维斯-1，毫无疑问。我将在这里解释原因：

第一个原因:团队之间的质量差异。查维斯是这个第二联赛中最强的球队之一，他们为了晋级到第一联赛下了很大的赌注。虽然马夫拉是排名中游的球队，但他们不是最弱的，但他们也没有足够的素质去梦想第一名。

第二个原因:状态，查韦斯来得正是时候。在上周末失利之前，他们已经连续5次获胜。但这是一场与科因布拉学院(Academica de Coimbra)的精彩足球赛，后者也在为晋级而战。它落在了Academica那边，但也有可能落在他们那边。另一方面，马夫拉似乎已经放弃了冠军，正在为比赛而战。他们不再有降级的危险，也不会再被提升。在过去的21场比赛中只赢了2场。

第三个理由:必须赢。就像我说的，马夫拉在联赛中已经没有目标了，但是查维斯一定会赢。埃斯托里尔已经晋级，现在还有两场比赛要打，还有4场比赛。第二名是直接晋级，第三名是季后赛，对手是第一联盟的第16名。他们落后第三名3分，所以还有4场比赛就要结束冠军，他们不能浪费更多的分数，他们需要赢得4场比赛。

查维斯在技术上更强大，有良好的状态，非常需要胜利，而马夫拉已经不再为任何事情效力。