Ascoli VS Cittadella

Ascoli host Cittadella for this Italian Serie B battle at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in Ascoli Piceno Beijing time. This is one of the best second tiers on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by the Serie A standards. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! Cittadella currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. They have a decent 32 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is definitely lower – 26.65 to be precise. They have netted the ball 25 times so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is smaller. They have conceded 20 goals so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 23.11. At home they have been strong but away from home they have been much more passive and defensive in many games. They have won only three of the eight away games in the Serie B. They have been better than I expected in my preseason analysis but many of their players have played above their normal level this season and this cannot go own forever.. The bookies respect them too much at the moment.. Last season they finished in 11th place with only 52 points to their account. Ascoli, on the other hand, finished in 6th place with a fine 65 points. Not that much has, after all, changed after last season..

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Ascoli squad has a much bigger estimated market value than that of the visitors. Indeed, the Ascoli players are valued at 16 million euros. The Cittadella squad has a market value of slightly below 12 million. Ascoli have been a disappointment this season – no denying this. They are in the 17th place in this league with a total of 18 clubs. They have 16 points in their pocket. However, they have been very unlucky in terms of xPTS. They would have deserved 22 or 23 points. The hosts can improve in all areas of the game. They have scored 17 goals and have allowed 24 goals. In terms of offensive quality the visitors do have an edge here – with the expected lineups – but not that clear. In terms of defensive quality the teams are more or less equal. In their last game Ascoli lost to Pisa 0-1 away from home as clear underdogs – priced around 4.30 to win by the bookies. However, they recorded many more goal attempts, attacks (147-94) and dangerous attacks – 47-19. they also generated much more in xG – 0.67-0.36. Before this they beat Catanzaro at home 1-0 and were the better team on the pitch. Cittadella have achieved many wins recently but have also had a lot of luck in many games! For example on the 9th of this month they beat Cosenza 2-0 at home but the visitors generated 1.34 in xG – Cittadella managed only 0.52. The biggest bookies see Cittadella as favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.70 to win but this is incorrect! We will take the Ascoli +0.5 goals handicap here!

阿斯科利VS Cittadella

北京时间，阿斯科利主场迎战西塔德拉在阿斯科利皮诺球场进行的意甲乙级比赛。这是世界上最好的第二梯队之一。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以意甲标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!Cittadella目前在积分榜上排名第五。他们有相当不错的32分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)肯定更低，准确地说是26.65。到目前为止，他们已经把球打进了25次。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)较小。到目前为止，他们丢了20个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是23.11个。在主场，他们很强大，但在客场，他们在很多比赛中都更加被动和防守。他们在乙级联赛的8场客场比赛中只赢了3场，他们的表现比我在季前赛分析中预期的要好，但他们的许多球员本赛季的表现都超出了正常水平，这种情况不可能永远持续下去。博彩公司现在太尊重他们了。上赛季他们仅以52分排名第11位。另一方面，阿斯科利以65分的优异成绩排在第六位。毕竟，和上个赛季相比，并没有太大的变化。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，阿斯科利队的市场价值要比客队高得多。事实上，阿斯科利球员的身价为1600万欧元。Cittadella球队的市场价值略低于1200万欧元。阿斯科利本赛季的表现令人失望——这是不可否认的。他们在这个联赛中排名第17位，共有18家俱乐部。他们的口袋里有16分。然而，他们在xPTS方面非常不走运。他们应该得到22或23分。东道主在比赛的各个方面都可以提高。他们进了17球，丢了24球。客队在进攻方面确实有优势——在预期的阵容下——但不是那么明显。就防守质量而言，两支球队或多或少不相上下。在上一场比赛中，阿斯科利客场0-1输给了比萨，他们显然处于劣势——博彩公司开出的赔率约为4.30。然而，他们的进球次数、进攻次数(147胜94负)和危险进攻次数(47胜19负)更多。它们在xG - 0.67-0.36中也产生了更多。在此之前，他们在主场1-0击败了卡坦扎罗，在球场上表现更好。Cittadella最近取得了许多胜利，但在许多比赛中也有很多运气!例如，本月9日，他们在主场2-0击败科森扎，但客队在xG取得了1.34的进球，而西塔德拉只取得了0.52的进球。最大的博彩公司认为Cittadella在这里是最受欢迎的-提供他们的赔率约为2.70，但这是不正确的!我们将在这里采用阿斯科利+0.5的进球障碍!