Early kickoff, early value! 英超 纽卡斯尔VS诺丁汉
2023-12-26
比赛分析
解读理由
Here on Boxing day early game we have the 2nd best home team Newcastle hosting the 3rd weakest visitor Nottingham, so the question basically is that how much do the injuries play a role here?
Newcastle at home have won 8 of their 9 home matches with a goal difference of 22-4, that is +18 goals, so on average, it is exactly a win by 2 goals!
The record is even more impressive when we take a look at the teams they have faced at home:
So there is one home loss, back in August, against Liverpool by 1-2. Even that match was according to performance data one that Newcastle should had won by a goal or two, but the red card for Liverpool's Van Dijk naturally messes up the data. Only Aston Villa have collected more points at home, but even they are several points behind in expected points.
Nottingham away then?
It is also a mirror image. 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses with a goal difference of 7-19. The sole consolidation is that that they have not yet hosted the other relegation candidates, and those matches are of massive importance.
Forest did fire their coach ahead of last round's home loss to Bournemouth, without any immediate impact. They lost the match, and one key defender Boly to a suspension.
The injury list of Newcastle is longer, but as there is not much change I would the Nottingham absentees more crucial as they have no depth.
What about the coach change? Cooper did well at Nottingham, but he was in the end punished for having a mediocre squad where there is a lot more quantity than quality. From Nuno Espiritu Santo we can expect a defensive approach, and as he has previous experience from Wolves and Tottenham in this league he knows what the challenge is, and it is huge.
Good luck, enjoy the early kick-off game!
Nottingham away
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在节礼日的比赛中，我们有排名第二的主队纽卡斯尔主场迎战排名第三的客队诺丁汉，所以问题基本上是伤病在这里起了多大的作用?
纽卡斯尔主场9场比赛赢了8场，净胜球为22-4，也就是+18球，所以平均来说，正好是2球的胜利!
当我们看看他们在主场面对的球队时，这一记录就更加令人印象深刻了:
今年8月，我们在主场1-2输给了利物浦。即使是那场比赛，从表现数据来看，纽卡斯尔也应该以一两个球的优势获胜，但利物浦的范迪克的红牌自然打乱了数据。只有阿斯顿维拉在主场获得了更多的积分，但即使是他们也比预期积分少了几分。
诺丁汉走了吗?
它也是一个镜像。1胜2平6负，净胜球7比19。唯一可以巩固的是，他们还没有主办过其他保级候选球队的比赛，而这些比赛非常重要。
森林在上一轮主场输给伯恩茅斯之前解雇了他们的教练，但没有任何直接的影响。他们输掉了比赛，其中一名主力后卫博利被禁赛。
纽卡斯尔的伤兵名单更长，但由于没有太大的变化，我认为诺丁汉的缺阵更重要，因为他们没有深度。
换教练怎么样?库珀在诺丁汉表现得很好，但他最终还是因为拥有一支数量多于质量的平庸球队而受到惩罚。从圣埃斯皮里图身上，我们可以期待他的防守方式，因为他之前在狼队和热刺队有过经验，他知道挑战是什么，这是巨大的。
祝你好运，享受提前开球的比赛!
诺丁汉了
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。