On Friday night, four games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of the matches is going to be between Salernitana and Milan. After 16 games, Salernitana has 1 win, 5 draws, 10 losses, a total of 8 points and the last, 20th position while Milan has 10 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, a total of 32 points and 3rd place. In this game, I predict Milan's win.

Salernitana isn't having the best time of the year as they have 3 losses in a row. At the start of November, the team had 4 points in 3 games and they even beat Lazio at home. We can't say that the result was fair because Lazio had a better xG but they scored a penalty. On the road against Sassuolo, Salernitana drew 2:2 but the home team had a better xG by 2 goals. Almost all points Salernitana has got at home where they have 1 win and 3 draws in 8 games, with a total of 7 goals scored and 16 conceded. Per xG, the team has the 3rd-worst generated xG at home and the worst xGA which also provides the worst xG difference by a huge amount.

Milan struggled very recently but now has won 2 games in a row. They managed to beat Newcastle on the road and qualify for the next Champions League stage. Milan very often gets a red card on the road and the team hasn't won the last 3 games away from home. Drawing against Napoli and losing to Atalanta isn't very bad because those are good teams while 2:2 against Lecce wasn't a great result. Overall this season, Milan is the 4th-best road team with 4 wins and 2 draws in 8 games, with a total of 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team has the 4th-best generated xG on the road and but only the 12th-best xGA.

Mexican goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa is the only injury absentee for the hosts, as the 38-year-old is out with a shoulder problem picked up on international duty last month. Tommaso Pobega represents a fresh injury concern for Milan, as the midfielder went off in the first half of the clash against Monza with a hamstring injury.

Milan isn't far away from the 2nd place so every game is very important, especially against the worst team in the league. I expect that Milan players want to have a good Christmas so they are going to do everything in order to beat the opponents.

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周五晚上，意甲将进行四场比赛，其中一场比赛将在萨莱尼塔纳和米兰之间进行。经过16场比赛，萨莱尼塔纳取得1胜5平10负，积8分，排名倒数第20，而米兰取得10胜2平4负，积32分，排名第3。在这场比赛中，我预测米兰会赢。

萨勒尼塔纳队今年并不是最好的时候，因为他们连输3场。在11月初，球队在3场比赛中拿到4分，他们甚至在主场击败了拉齐奥。我们不能说结果是公平的，因为拉齐奥有更好的阵容，但是他们打进了一个点球。在客场对阵萨索洛的比赛中，萨勒尼塔纳以2:2战平对手，但主队比萨索洛领先2球。萨莱尼塔纳几乎所有的积分都是在主场获得的，他们在8场比赛中取得了1胜3平，总共进了7球，丢了16球。按xG计算，这支球队在主场的生成xG和xGA都是最差的，这也导致了xG的巨大差异。

米兰最近很挣扎，但现在已经连续赢了两场比赛。他们在客场击败了纽卡斯尔，晋级下一阶段的欧冠。米兰经常在客场吃到红牌，而且最近3场客场比赛都没有赢过。战平那不勒斯和输给亚特兰大并不是很糟糕，因为这两支球队都是强队，而2:2输给莱切并不是一个好结果。总的来说，米兰在本赛季的8场比赛中取得了4胜2平的成绩，是排名第四的客场球队，共进15球失14球。这支球队在客场产生的xG排名第四，但xGA排名第12。

墨西哥门将吉列尔莫·奥乔亚是东道主唯一缺阵的球员，这位38岁的门将在上个月的国际比赛中肩部受伤。托马索·波贝加代表了米兰新的伤病问题，这名中场球员在与蒙扎的比赛中因腿筋受伤下场。

米兰离第二名不远了，所以每场比赛都很重要，尤其是对阵联赛中最差的球队。我希望米兰的球员都想过一个愉快的圣诞节，所以他们会尽一切努力击败对手。

12月23日萨勒尼塔 VS AC米兰比赛分析直播