There are 4 points in favour of Osasuna in the actual table, almost nothing in the performance table, but as I see the injury situation and form a lot better at the away team they are my pick to win.

Mallorca have lost their only attacking weapon Muriqi to injury room, he was the best scorer, absolutely best creator of goal chances, and recently they have not scored, not even looked like scoring. 2 goals in last 8 games!

They have created very little goal expectation at home even vs the worse teams than Osasuna, and as no one finishes the few chances the results look like this:

The defensive balance of the team is solid, or is it? In the picture above there are only two top-10 teams, both of them created chances enough of 2-3 goals. Betis and Atletico.

Osasuna might not be quite that good, not as my predicted xG for Mallorca here is less than 0.5 we basically need only one goal to win. Can Osasuna do it?

Well, at least they have scored now in 8 games in a row.

Looking at the quality of the teams they have met recently there is a big difference, and scoring the 94th minute winner last time around v stubborn Vallecano side they are mentally in a good place, and as they are practically injury free as well I seem them to win this one narrowly, but from the entertainment point of view this is not the match to look for tonight.

If you are watching one match tonight it should be Girona, but the better value lies here.

Good luck!

奥萨苏纳在实际积分榜上有4分的优势，在表现积分榜上几乎没有任何优势，但是当我看到他们的伤病状况和在客场的状态要好得多的时候，我认为他们会赢。

马洛卡失去了他们唯一的进攻武器穆里奇，他是最好的射手，绝对是最好的进球机会创造者，最近他们没有进球，甚至看起来都不像进球。最近8场比赛进2球!

即使面对比奥萨苏纳更差的球队，他们在主场的进球期望值也很低，而且由于没有人有机会完成比赛，结果看起来是这样的:

球队的防守平衡是稳固的，不是吗?在上面的图片中，只有两支前10名的球队，他们都创造了足够的2-3个进球的机会。贝蒂斯和马竞。

奥萨苏纳可能没有那么好，不是因为我预测马洛卡的xG小于0.5，我们基本上只需要一个进球就能赢。奥萨苏纳能做到吗?

好吧，至少他们现在已经连续8场比赛得分了。

看看他们最近遇到的球队的实力，就会发现有很大的不同，上次在对阵顽强的巴列卡诺队的比赛中，他们在第94分钟打进绝杀球，他们的精神状态很好，而且他们几乎没有受伤，我认为他们会以微弱的优势赢得这场比赛，但从娱乐的角度来看，这不是今晚的比赛。

如果你今晚只看一场比赛，那应该是赫罗纳，但更有价值的是这里。

好运！