Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

Top value for Thursday night!

2023-12-21

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期五2023-12-22 02:00

解读理由

Let us start with the expected lineups and absentees;


Cadiz miss 5 players, none of them non-significant, but keeper Ledesma and striker Marti are of key importance. Also some doubts over keeper David Gil here, it would be a major problem!

At Sociedad they miss only Barrenetxea, he is good but the lineup is brilliant also without him.

Class-wise we have here a home side who are bottom-3 even with their best possible lineup against a team who won their Champion's league group over top opponents, and who have impressed with their performances all of the season. A look at their latest league performances below:


They have not won all the games, but they do create enough chances for 2-3 goals in even all of their away matches! This is definitely a lot easier fixture than going to Villarreal or Osasuna, Almeria perhaps is the best benchmark of these in the picture.

Cadiz have lost by this handicap 4 times this season. Against Barcelona, Valencia, Bilbao and Real Madrid. Against Atletico Madrid the score was 3-2, but it was another one which should had been lost by 2-3 goals according to performance data. Do we see a clear trend here? They will give a decent fight against everyone else and win a match every now and then, but the top-6 are just too good for them?


4 times 1-1 draw in a row, mostly rather deserved except away at Celta, but now as mentioned they face a team who are superior on every department and are in top form, and with the absentees - especially between the posts - I see very little chances for Cadiz here for points, and the best value is in -1,5 asian handicap.

Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

让我们从预期的阵容和缺席者开始;


加的斯缺席了5名球员,他们都很重要,但门将莱德斯马和前锋马蒂是关键。还有一些关于门将大卫吉尔的疑问,这将是一个大问题!

在社会,他们只想念巴雷内切亚,他很好,但没有他的阵容也很出色。

从级别上来说,我们的主队即使拥有最好的阵容,也只能排在倒数第三,他们的对手是一支在冠军联赛小组赛中击败顶级对手的球队,而且他们整个赛季的表现都令人印象深刻。下面是他们最新的联赛表现:


他们并没有赢得所有的比赛,但他们确实在所有的客场比赛中创造了足够的2-3个进球的机会!这绝对是比比利亚雷亚尔或奥萨苏纳容易得多的比赛,阿尔梅里亚可能是这些比赛中最好的基准。

加的斯在这个赛季输了4次。对阵巴塞罗那,瓦伦西亚,毕尔巴鄂和皇家马德里。对马德里竞技的比分是3比2,但根据表现数据,这是另一场应该输2-3球的比赛。我们是否看到了一个明显的趋势?他们会给其他球队一个体面的战斗,偶尔赢一场比赛,但前6名对他们来说太好了?


4次1-1战平,除了客场对阵塞尔塔,大多数情况下都是应得的,但现在他们面对的是一支各方面都更优秀、状态最佳的球队,而且由于缺阵——尤其是在门柱之间——我认为加的斯在这里拿分的机会很小,最好的值是-1,5的亚洲障碍。

好运!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。