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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Free bet for my followers 澳超 布里斯班VS中央海岸

2023-12-21

比赛分析

澳超

已完赛

星期四2023-12-21 16:45

解读理由

Odds on guests dropped by 0.20 from opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kickoff. Value is still there.

In my opinion Central Coast have very good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams played each other just over a month ago. Central Coast lost 1:2 at home, but that wasn't fully deserved result as they finished with higher expected goals scored number than Brisbane (2.17 versus 1.50). Now is time for revenge.

Central Coast should be able to bounce back on good track today, they went unbeaten in 5 of last 6 matches against Brisbane and recorded two consecutive wins at this stadium.

Central Coast had very bad start of the season as they lost all 4 opening matches (including game against Brisbane), but they are strong team - finishes previous season on 2nd place and looks like they are moving in good direction now. Central Coast didn't lost in last 4 matches (2 wins in the process) and in those game where they had a draw, they deserved for something more. Draw at home against Melbourne Victory: they had 3.17 expected goals scored, opponents only 0.53. In last roud they had draw against Melbourne City, but they had 2.00 expected goals scored, opponents 1.53.

Brisbane in last round recorded painful, but fully deserved loss on the road against Western. Painful because they had a lead till 82'. Deserved because Western had 2.90 expected goals scored, Brisbane only 1.14.

Brisbane is higher in league table after 8 rounds, but I don't think they are better team and soon Central Coast should be able to catch them. According to the expected goals scored model Central Coast is third-best team in whole league. According to the expected goals conceded model they are the best team in whole league. In both departments they are better than Brisbane and that should be visible on the pitch today.

I see excellent chances for guests to continue good streak and avoid loss in this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在最大限度的亚洲大型市场上,客人的赔率下降了0.20,我完全同意这种趋势。我预计在开球前会有更大的下跌。价值依然存在。

在我看来,中央海岸队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

两个队一个多月前刚打过一场比赛。中央海岸队主场1:2失利,但这并不是完全应得的结果,因为他们的预期进球数高于布里斯班队(2.17比1.50)。现在是复仇的时候了。

中央海岸队今天应该能回到正轨,他们在过去6场对布里斯班的比赛中5场不败,并且在这个球场取得了两连胜。

中央海岸队本赛季的开局非常糟糕,他们输掉了4场首场比赛(包括对布里斯班的比赛),但他们是一支强大的球队——上个赛季以第二名结束,现在看起来他们正朝着好的方向前进。中央海岸在最近4场比赛中没有输过(其中2场获胜),在那些平局的比赛中,他们应该得到更多。主场战平墨尔本胜利队:他们有3.17个预期进球,对手只有0.53个。在上一轮比赛中,他们战平了墨尔本城,但他们的预期进球数是2.00,对手是1.53。

布里斯班在上一轮对西部的比赛中经历了痛苦的失利,但这是理所应当的。痛苦是因为他们直到82分才领先。这是应得的,因为西部有2.90个预期进球,布里斯班只有1.14个。

布里斯班在8轮之后排名更高,但我不认为他们是更好的球队,很快中央海岸就能赶上他们。根据预期进球数模型,中央海岸队在整个联赛中排名第三。根据预期失球模型,他们是整个联赛中最好的球队。在这两个方面,他们都比布里斯班强,这在今天的球场上应该是显而易见的。

我认为客人很有可能在这场比赛中继续保持良好的势头,避免输球。

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