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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today?

2023-12-21

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期五2023-12-22 02:00

解读理由

In my opinion Sociedad have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Sociedad have big mental advantage before game as they won in 5 of last 6 matches against Cadiz and won last 3 consecutive games at this stadium. For sure they coming for this game without any fear.

I believe Sociedad have all required tools to keep clean sheet in today's game. In 6 matches against Cadiz they conceded only one goal. They kept clean sheet in all 3 matches against Cadiz at this stadium. Sociedad defensive formation is rock solid at the moment - they kept clean sheet in last 4 consecutive matches in all competitions. During that run they played against teams much stronger than Cadiz like Inter, Betis or Villarreal. According to the expected goals scored model Cadiz in offense is the worst team in La Liga, they also have the lowest number of shots on target per game (only 3.1). Only two teams in La Liga have more clean sheets than Sociedad at this stage of the season and I can imagine another one for guests today.

On the other hand I see at least one goal for Sociedad today. In last round they failed to score against Betis, but they had 1.07 expected goals scored. Guests scored 12 goals in 8 away La Liga matches. They are league top6 in goals scored per game. Cadiz failed to keep clean sheet since end of September - currently they have 10 consecutive matches with at least one goal conceded. Sociedad firepower for sure is good enough to score at least one time tonight.

On those circumstances I see excellent chances for guests to make 3 points in this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,社会在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

社会在赛前有很大的心理优势,他们在过去6场对加的斯的比赛中赢了5场,并且在这个球场连续3场获胜。他们毫无畏惧地来看这场比赛。

我相信在今天的比赛中,Sociedad拥有所有需要的工具来保持不失球。在与加的斯的6场比赛中,他们只丢了一个球。他们在这个球场对加的斯的三场比赛都没有失球。社会的防守阵型现在坚如磐石,他们在所有比赛中连续4场保持零封。在那场比赛中,他们对阵的球队比加的斯强得多,比如国米、贝蒂斯和比利亚雷亚尔。根据预期进球模型,加的斯在进攻端是西甲最差的球队,他们的场均射门次数也最低(只有3.1次)。在本赛季的这个阶段,西甲只有两支球队比社会有更多的零失球,我可以想象今天的客人会有另一支球队。

另一方面,我认为今天巴萨至少有一个进球。在上一轮对贝蒂斯的比赛中,他们没有进球,但他们有1.07个预期进球。客人在8场西甲客场比赛中打进12球。他们的场均进球数排在联赛前6。加的斯自9月底以来未能保持零封,目前他们已经连续10场比赛至少丢了一个球。社会的火力肯定足够好,今晚至少能进一个球。

在这种情况下,我认为客人很有可能在这场比赛中得到3分。

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