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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! 葡超 里斯本VS波尔图

2023-12-19

比赛分析

葡超

已完赛

星期二2023-12-19 04:15

解读理由

Sporting CP VS FC Porto


Sporting CP welcome FC Porto for this Liga Portugal round 14 battle early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is much better than average in Europe, but it is not among the top-5 leagues.. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of very high level by the Liga Portugal standards. Benfica currently top the standings and are in the first place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Porto are in second place in the rating – followe by Sporting CP and Braga. These four teams are clearly the best four teams in Liga Portugal. Both Sporting and Porto have grabbed a total of 31 points so far. However, Porto's number of expected points (xPTS) is higher – 33.02 to be precise. Sporting's number of xPTS is 30.16. In terms of offensive quality the hosts do have an edge over Porto, but not by a wide margin. Indeed, they have netted the ball 28 times in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 23.67. Porto have scored 21 goals but their number of xG is 22.08.

In terms of defensive quality Porto are the better team here. Indeed, it is very hard to write anything negative about their defence! They have allowed only nine goals in this league so far! The hosts have conceded 15 goals. Furthermore, Porto qualified for the UEFA Champions League Playoffs - Sporting did not qualify for the Champions League.. Porto have won two games in a row and have looked strong on the pitch. With the expected lineups this match as close to 50/50 game in my expert opinion.. The bookies see the hosts as surprisingly clear favourites.. Porto +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious mart bet here!



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体育CP VS波尔图


北京时间周二凌晨,葡萄牙体育欢迎波尔图参加葡萄牙队第14轮的比赛。这个联赛比欧洲的平均水平要好得多,但它不是前五名联赛之一。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以葡萄牙联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。本菲卡目前排名第一,在我的能量评级中排名第一。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级,有最好的首发11人。波尔图排名第二,紧随其后的是马德里竞技和布拉加。这四支球队显然是葡萄牙联赛中最好的四支球队。到目前为止,里斯本竞技和波尔图都已经拿到了31分。然而,波尔图的预期积分(xPTS)更高,准确地说是33.02分。体育的xPTS数量为30.16。就进攻质量而言,主队确实比波尔图有优势,但差距并不大。事实上,到目前为止,他们在联赛中已经有28次进球。然而,他们的预期目标数量(xG)“只有”23.67。波尔图已经进了21球,但是他们的进球数是22.08。

就防守质量而言,波尔图是这里更好的球队。的确,很难写出任何关于他们防守的负面评论!到目前为止,他们在联赛中只丢了9个球!东道主已经丢了15个球。此外,波尔图晋级了欧洲冠军联赛季后赛,而里斯本竞技没有晋级欧洲冠军联赛。波尔图已经连续赢了两场比赛,在球场上看起来很强大。在我的专家看来,这场比赛的预期阵容接近50/50。博彩公司认为东道主是令人惊讶的大热门。波尔图+0.5个进球差距显然是明智的赌注!

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