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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting game to bet on!

2023-12-18

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期二2023-12-19 03:45

解读理由

Atalanta VS Salernitana


Atalanta welcome Salernitana for this Italian Serie A round 16 clash at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is the fourth-best on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of average level by the Serie A standards. Atalanta are having a pretty strong season! Indeed, they currently occupy the 8th place in the standings with a respectable 23 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher – 27.03 to be precise. They have netted the ball a decent 24 times in this league so far. Their number of xG is marginally lower though. However, they can improve in this area of the game as the season progresses.. Their defence has been pretty solid and does not have any obvious weaknesses..

 The hosts have conceded 18 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 14.34. They have won two of their last games – scoring a whopping seven goals in these two matches. In their last game they crushed Rakow in Poland 4-0 as clear underdogs according to the bookies. Indeed, they were priced around 3.60 to win at the time of kickoff! They generated 2.43 in xG - much more than the hosts. Before this they were excellent and defeated AC Milan 3-2 at home. They generated a strong 3.45 in xG – Milan managed only 1.09. Salernitana, on the other hand, are an awful team! They have taken only eight points and are in last place at the moment. Their score difference is abysmal – 11:30 and I do not see them having potential for improvement.. Away from home they have lost 5/7 games in the Serie A this season. Atalanta -1.5 goals handicap has 62% chance of winning here!



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亚特兰大VS萨勒尼塔纳


北京时间周二凌晨,亚特兰大欢迎萨勒尼塔纳参加意甲16强比赛,比赛将在贝加莫Gewiss体育场举行。这个联盟是世界上第四好的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以意甲标准衡量的平均水平的比赛。亚特兰大正在经历一个非常强大的赛季!事实上,他们目前以可观的23分排名第8位。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)更高——准确地说是27.03。到目前为止,他们在这个联赛中已经有24次进球了。不过,他们的xG数量略低。然而,随着赛季的进行,他们可以在这方面有所提高。他们的防守相当稳固,没有任何明显的弱点。

东道主已经丢了18个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有14.34个。他们在最近的两场比赛中赢了两场,在这两场比赛中打进了惊人的7球。在上一场比赛中,他们以4比0击败了波兰的拉科夫,根据博彩公司的说法,他们显然处于劣势。事实上,在开球时,他们的价格约为3.6美元!它们在xG中产生了2.43个——比宿主多得多。在此之前,他们表现出色,在主场3-2击败了AC米兰。他们在xG取得了3.45分的好成绩,而米兰只有1.09分。另一方面,Salernitana是一支糟糕的球队!目前他们只拿到了8分,排在最后一名。他们的得分差太糟糕了——11:30分,我看不出他们有进步的潜力。在客场,他们本赛季在意甲联赛中输掉了5/7场比赛。亚特兰大-1.5个进球障碍在这里有62%的获胜机会!

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