In my opinion Alaves have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.

In last 13 matches between both teams only one time Girona won with more than one goal difference.

Obviously, Girona is favorite of this game as they plays excellent season. Still I see this HC line as too big. In current season Girona failed to win with more than one goal difference in 10 of 16 La Liga matches. Girona today have serious squad problems as they coming for this game without third-best player in current season (according to the ratings) Herrera and second-best scorer Stuani. In addition to that key winger Tsygankov (assist in last round) is very doubtful for this game.

Alaves is solid team. In last 8 La Liga matches only twice conceded more than one goal (2 goals against Barcelona, 2 goals Atletico Madrid). I watched their last round match against Las Palmas, they lost, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Alaves 1.92, for Las Palmas 0.38. If they continue to play on this level today, I can imagine big troubles for Girona to make easy win.

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在我看来，阿拉维斯在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

在两队最近的13场比赛中，赫罗纳只有一次以1球以上的差距取胜。

显然，赫罗纳是这场比赛的最爱，因为他们本赛季表现出色。但我还是觉得HC线太大了。在本赛季的西甲联赛中，赫罗纳在16场比赛中有10场以1球以上的差距取胜。赫罗纳今天面临着严重的阵容问题，因为他们在这场比赛中没有本赛季排名第三的球员埃雷拉和排名第二的射手斯图亚尼。此外，关键边锋茨甘科夫(上轮助攻)在这场比赛中能否上场也很有疑问。

阿拉维斯是一个坚实的团队。在过去的8场西甲比赛中，只有两次失球超过1球(对巴塞罗那2球，对马德里竞技2球)。我看了他们上一轮对拉斯帕尔马斯的比赛，他们输了，但那根本不是他们应得的结果:阿拉维斯的预期进球数是1.92，拉斯帕尔马斯的预期进球数是0.38。如果他们今天继续打出这样的水平，我可以想象赫罗纳要轻松取胜会遇到很大的麻烦。

12月19日赫罗纳 VS 阿拉维斯比赛分析直播