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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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This is "must win" game for them

2023-12-16

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2023-12-16 22:30

解读理由

In my opinion Wolfsburg have bigger chances to win this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.


I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Darmstadt wants to avoid relegation, Wolfsburg wants to finish in top8 and they have to win in such matches against lower rank teams without any excuses. For sure this is ‘must 3 points’ match on their schedule.


Wolfsburg have more bad moments than good, but in current season they were able to win against RBL from top5 or played close match against leader of the table from Leverkusen. In last round Wolfsburg lost 0:1 at home against Freiburg (European Cups team), but they not looked worse than their opponents: expected goals scored for Wolfsburg 1.19, for Freiburg 1.09. Wolfsburg best players Svanberg, Majer and Wind are available and they should be able to make a lot of troubles for Darmstadt poor defensive formation.


Darmstadt lost in last round lost on the road against other relegation material (Heidenheim) and they looked poor at both end of the pitch: lack of creativity (0.92 expected goals scored) and silly errors at the back (3 goals conceded). In addition to that, hosts today have huge squad problems as they coming for this game without offensive star Mehlem (he is second-best scorer and best assistant) and best player in current season (according to the ratings) Nurnberger. It’s huge blow and should have very bad impact on hosts performance today.


Wolfsburg is better team, looked better in previous round and coming with strong line up. They should be able to beat poor, depleted Darmstadt.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,沃尔夫斯堡赢得这场比赛的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。


我看到了两支球队在质量、潜力和雄心方面的巨大差异。达姆施塔特希望保级,沃尔夫斯堡希望进入前8,他们必须在这样的比赛中战胜排名较低的球队,没有任何借口。可以肯定的是,这是他们赛程上“必须得3分”的比赛。


沃尔夫斯堡的坏时刻比好时刻多,但在本赛季他们能够战胜前5名的RBL,或者与积分榜领头羊勒沃库森打了一场势均力敌的比赛。上一轮沃尔夫斯堡主场0:1输给了弗赖堡(欧洲杯球队),但他们看起来并不比对手差:沃尔夫斯堡的预期进球数为1.19,弗赖堡为1.09。沃尔夫斯堡最好的球员斯文伯格、梅耶和温德都可以上场,他们应该能够给达姆施塔特糟糕的防守阵型制造很多麻烦。


达姆施塔特在上一轮客场输给了其他保级球队(海登海姆),他们在球场的两端看起来都很糟糕:缺乏创造力(预期进球数为0.92),后场出现了愚蠢的失误(丢了3个球)。除此之外,东道主今天的阵容问题很大,因为他们在这场比赛中没有进攻明星迈勒姆(他是本赛季第二好的得分手和最佳助手)和本赛季最佳球员(根据收视率)纽伦堡。这是一个巨大的打击,应该会对东道主今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。


沃尔夫斯堡是一支更好的球队,上一轮看起来更好,阵容也很强大。他们应该能够击败贫穷、枯竭的达姆施塔特。

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