Expected lineups:

Both have almost full squads available, Osasuna miss Kike Barja and Johan Mojica due injuries, at Vallecano top midfielder Trejo is the only absentee.

Both are around midtable and the actual points are close enough to reality, so there is not much class difference currently with optimal lineups.

The Osasuna side has been notoriously good at home in Pamplona on previous seasons, but this season something has changed, or is it an anomaly? Osasuna have won once out of their eight home matches this season!

We get the quick answer to this by looking at their fixtures, and their expected goals and points at home. Osasuna have met at home mostly the top teams so far, and against the lower table teams they have been unlucky - poor finishers - in almost all of the games.

It is no wonder to lose to Atletico and Girona, but the xG was rather even in both of the matches. They should had won over Las Palmas by 2 goals, the draw vs Sociedad was a deserved one. Looking at the upcoming fixtures it is likely that their home results will turn into better really soon, starting from tonight.

Rayo are not especially strong visitors, and they have won none of their 6 league matches home or away.

Their last 5 away games look like this:

Not very convincing results, neither performances. The win away at Las Palmas was a lucky one, and they were completely outplayed at Real Madrid.

In general they create very little chances on the road, the xG has been around 0.2 xg at Cadiz,Real and Bilbao. Out of their all goals they have been especially effective at the penalty spot, scoring from all 5 penalties given.

As an example of their luck here is the timeline from the Las Palmas match. They did not look like winners, do they?

Osasuna have been underperforming their xG from open play by several goals, their only successful striker has been Ante Budimir with his 8 goals, but we can expect more from Chimy Avila and midfielder Moi Gomez, and I see the home win tonight as excellent value!

Good luck!

预期的阵容:

两队都几乎满员，奥萨苏纳因伤缺阵巴哈和莫希卡，巴列卡诺的顶级中场特雷霍是唯一缺阵的球员。

两者都在中游附近，实际得分也足够接近现实，所以目前的最佳阵容没有太大的职业差异。

前几个赛季奥萨苏纳在潘普洛纳的主场表现都非常出色，但这个赛季有些变化了，或者这是一种反常现象?奥萨苏纳在本赛季的8场主场比赛中只赢了1场!

看看他们的赛程，以及他们在主场的预期进球和积分，我们就能很快得到答案。到目前为止，奥萨苏纳在主场遇到的大多是顶级球队，而面对排名较低的球队，他们几乎在所有的比赛中都运气不佳。

输给马竞和赫罗纳也不足为奇，但两场比赛的表现都相当均衡。他们本应该以2球战胜拉斯帕尔马斯，和社会的平局是他们应得的。看看即将到来的比赛，他们的主场成绩很可能很快就会好转，从今晚开始。

Rayo并不是特别强大的客队，他们在6场联赛中主场或客场一场都没有获胜。

他们最近的5场客场比赛是这样的:

不是很令人信服的结果，也不是表演。在拉斯帕尔马斯的胜利是一场幸运的胜利，他们完全被皇马击败了。

总的来说，他们在客场创造的机会很少，在加的斯、皇马和毕尔巴鄂的比赛中，xG一直在0.2左右。在他们所有的进球中，他们在点球点上的表现尤其有效，5个点球全部命中。

作为他们运气的一个例子是拉斯帕尔马斯比赛的时间线。他们看起来不像赢家，不是吗?

奥萨苏纳在开放比赛中表现不佳，他们唯一成功的前锋是安特·布迪米尔，他进了8个球，但我们可以期待从奇米·阿维拉和中场莫伊·戈麦斯身上看到更多，我认为今晚的主场胜利是非常有价值的!

好运！