Slovan Bratislava VS NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Slovan Bratislava and O. Ljubljana lock horns in this UEFA Europa Conference League Group A round 6 battle at Tehelné pole early Friday morning Beijing time Beijing time. This is the last round of play. The Europa League Conference is the third-highest of UEFA's club competitions. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by the Conference League standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! We have won nine of the last 11 games betting on this competition! The hosts are a Slovakian club – the visitors come from Slovenia. Lille currently top the standings with 11 points to their account. They are clearly the best team in this group. Slovan Bratislava have grabbed 10 points and have secured at least second place and a spot in the 1/8-finals. Their score difference is not overly convincing though - 7:5 to be precise. Technically they still do have a chance to win the group but this is very improbable as Lille are gigantic favourites against the smallest team in this competition, Klaksvik. Believe it or not – this team comes from the Faroe Islands and many of their players are not even fulltime footballers! Once the hosts' players hear that Lille are (probably) crushing Klaksvik their motivation will surely be affected..Slovan Bratislava have been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They are definitely a worse team than the standings would suggest. This must be the main reason behind them being overvalued on the betting market here. The bookies have reacted too heavily to their better-than-expected results. Let's not forget that when Ljubljana hosted them in round 2 they were solid favourites – priced around 2.25 to win by the bookies! The Slovaks won the match 1-0 but the hosts, too, had their chances.. They play in the Slovakian Nike Liga which is not much better than the Slovenian Prva Liga. Both teams are doing well in the domestic league.

O. Ljubljana have been a disappointment in this competition - no denying this. They have taken only three points so far. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher. They can improve in all areas of the game and the bookies should respect them more. For a team of their caliber the 500 000 euros prize money for a win is surely a big motivator too. Furthermore, they would surely love to topple Klaksvik and take third place.. In their last game in this group they lost to Lille 0-2 at home – as big underdogs – of course. They were not without chances though and recorded 10 scoring attempts. They also generated 0.91 in expected goals (xG). The visitors did deserve the three points though. Slovan Bratislava were somewhat lucky to beat Klaksvik away from home in their last game in this group. The final score was 1-2. However, the hosts, the clear underdogs in this game, recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks (128-81) as well as dangerous attacks – 58-34! I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Slovan Bratislava squad has an estimated total market value of only around 15 million euros. This is marginally too low in my opinion though. The visitors' players, on the other hand, have a market value of about 13 million euros – which is also a bit too low. These numbers illustrate the difference in class between the teams relatively well! Indeed, the hosts are not a much stronger/bigger club after all.. Yes, they do deserve to be the favourites here but the current odds of around 1.55 on them to win offered by the bookies are clearly too low! We will take the visitors +1.5 goals handicap option with a 74% chance of winning once again here!

布拉迪斯拉发VS卢布尔雅那奥林匹亚

北京时间周五凌晨，在欧联杯A组第6轮的比赛中，斯洛文尼亚布拉迪斯拉发和卢布尔雅那将在赫尔涅尔堡展开激战。这是最后一轮比赛了。欧洲联赛是欧足联第三高的俱乐部比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联盟标准衡量的平庸水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们在过去的11场比赛中赢了9场!东道主是一家斯洛伐克俱乐部，客队来自斯洛文尼亚。里尔目前以11分排名第一。他们显然是这个小组中最好的球队。布拉迪斯拉发队拿到了10分，至少获得了第二名和1/8决赛的席位。他们的比分差距并不太令人信服，确切地说是7:5。从技术上讲，他们仍然有机会赢得小组头名，但这是非常不可能的，因为里尔是本届比赛中对阵最小球队克拉克斯维克的大热门。信不信由你——这支球队来自法罗群岛，他们的许多球员甚至不是全职足球运动员!一旦主队的球员听说里尔(可能)会碾压克拉克斯维克，他们的积极性肯定会受到影响，布拉迪斯拉发在预期积分方面还算幸运。他们绝对是一支比排名更糟糕的球队。这一定是他们在这里的博彩市场被高估的主要原因。博彩公司对好于预期的结果反应过度。让我们不要忘记，当卢布尔雅那在第二轮主场迎战他们时，他们是最受欢迎的球队——博彩公司开出的赔率在2.25左右!斯洛伐克队以1比0赢得了比赛，但东道主也有机会。他们参加的是比斯洛文尼亚甲级联赛好不了多少的斯洛伐克耐克联赛。两支球队在国内联赛中都表现不错。

卢布尔雅那在这场比赛中令人失望——这是不可否认的。到目前为止，他们只拿到了3分。但是，它们的期望值(xPTS)更高。他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高，博彩公司应该更加尊重他们。对于一支他们这样水准的球队来说，50万欧元的胜利奖金当然也是一个很大的动力。此外，他们肯定很想推翻克拉克斯维克，获得第三名。在这个小组的最后一场比赛中，他们在主场0-2输给了里尔——当然，他们是处于劣势的球队。不过他们也不是没有机会，并且有10次得分尝试。他们也产生了0.91的预期目标(xG)。不过客队确实配得上三分。布拉迪斯拉发在小组的最后一场比赛中在客场击败了克拉克斯维克，这有点幸运。最后的比分是1比2。然而，东道主在这场比赛中明显处于劣势，他们的进球次数、射正、射偏、角球、进攻(128比81)以及危险进攻(58比34)都更多!我还想提一下，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，布拉迪斯拉发队的总市值估计只有1500万欧元左右。但在我看来，这个数字太低了。另一方面，客队球员的市场价值约为1300万欧元，这也有点太低了。这些数字很好地说明了两支球队在阶级上的差异!的确，东道主毕竟不是一个更强/更大的俱乐部。是的，他们确实应该在这里成为最受欢迎的人，但目前博彩公司提供的1.55左右的赔率显然太低了!我们将采取客队+1.5个进球障碍选项，有74%的机会再次获胜!