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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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GREAT results in this league! ¥¥¥ 罗甲 加拉茨钢铁VS舍佩斯

2023-12-12

比赛分析

罗甲

已完赛

星期二2023-12-12 23:00

解读理由

FC Otelul Galati VS Sepsi OSK Sfantul Gheorghe



Otelul welcome Sepsi St. Gheorghe for this Romanian Liga 1 round 19 battle at Stadionul Otelul late Tuesday evening Beijing time. This league is of pretty average level by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors, with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of average level by the Liga 1 standards here. Most importantly, we have won an awesome eight of the last nine picks in this league. We also won two picks on the Romanian Cup last week. Otelul were promoted to this level for this season. They are a pretty small club by the Liga 1 standards in terms of financial resources. Moreover, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, their squad has a estimated total market value of only around six million. This is slightly too less in my opinion though. The hosts' players, on the other hand, have a market value of almost 15 million euros. This is definitely too low. These numbers illustrate the difference in class between the teams very well. The visitors have an edge over Otelul in all areas of the game! Last season they finished in the 6th place in the Championship Group. Consequently they had a chance to play in the UEFA Europa League qualification where they played better than I would have expected. For Otelul international games look very unrealistic..

However, Otelul have been much stronger than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. Consequently, I have raised their power rating from the preseason analysis. However, the bookies seem to trust them too much – at least in this game – and also probably underestimate Sepsi. Otelul currently occupy the 9th place in the standings. They have a total of 23 points in the pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is, in fact, even a bit higher – 24.99 to be precise. They have defended well this season but Sepsi have some very fast and dangerous offensive players – by this league's standards. Sepsi have netted the ball 21 times in this league so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is 24.98. Otelul have scored 17 goals and their number of xG is 16.11. Sepsi, too, have grabbed 23 goals but their number of xPTS is 26.78. They can improve further. They have lost just one of their last games and have an excellent chance of taking at least a point here. The should not be the underdogs here!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

加拉蒂队VS乔治队



北京时间周二晚,罗马尼亚甲级联赛第19轮的比赛将在奥特鲁尔球场举行,届时将迎来圣乔治。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛处于中等水平。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃投注者,可以期待一场以西甲标准衡量的平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们在过去的9个选秀权中赢得了8个。我们还在上周的罗马尼亚杯上赢得了两个冠军。Otelul本赛季被提升到这个级别。就财政资源而言,他们是一个相当小的俱乐部。此外,根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,他们的总市值估计只有600万欧元左右。但在我看来,这有点太少了。另一方面,东道主球员的市场价值接近1500万欧元。这肯定太低了。这些数字很好地说明了两支球队在阶级上的差异。客队在游戏的所有领域都比Otelul有优势!上个赛季他们在冠军小组中排名第六。因此他们有机会参加欧联杯资格赛,他们的表现超出了我的预期。对于Otelul来说,国际游戏看起来非常不现实。

然而,Otelul比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要强大得多。因此,我从季前赛的分析中提高了他们的能量评级。然而,博彩公司似乎太相信他们了——至少在这场比赛中——也可能低估了塞普西。Otelul目前在积分榜上排名第九。他们总共得到了23分。实际上,它们的期望值(xPTS)甚至更高——准确地说是24.99。他们本赛季的防守很好,但是按照这个联盟的标准,塞普西有一些非常快速和危险的进攻球员。赛普西目前在联赛中打进21球,但他们的预期进球(xG)只有24.98个。奥特尔进了17球,进球数为16.11个。虽然同样攻入23球,但他们的射门得分只有26.78个。他们可以进一步提高。他们在最近的比赛中只输了一场,很有可能在这里拿到至少一分。他们不应该是这里的弱者!

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