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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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The most logical bet for La Liga today

2021-04-28

比赛分析

主队毕尔巴鄂LOGO

毕尔巴鄂

西甲

已完赛

星期四2021-04-29 01:00

客队巴利亚多LOGO

巴利亚多

解读理由

在我看来,巴利亚多确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少1分的佳绩。

目前巴利亚多对毕尔巴鄂的战绩非常不错,因为他们在最近6场比赛中仅输掉一次(他们在过去15场比赛中没有输掉10场)。两队之间的赛季首场比赛以巴利亚多2:1主场胜利结束。

我预测的主要原因是动力。到本赛季结束前仅剩6轮比赛,从此基本上毕尔巴鄂从现在起将一无所获。他们离欧洲杯的位置太远了,但是他们在离安全避免降级区也有差距。另一方面,巴利亚多处于降级区,仅差1分,对他们而言,这是极其重要的比赛。如果今天赢得比赛,他们将跳出降级区。可以肯定的是,他们的动力处于最高值。

毕尔巴鄂的状态不佳,因为他们在过去9场比赛中只赢了一次。他们主场对阵马竞中,很幸运还有马丁内斯的打入进球。这根本是不应该得到的结果。另一方面,我看到巴利亚多的成绩保持了良好的一致性,因为他们在过去10场比赛中7场没有输球。在此过程中,他们只输给了巴塞罗那和皇马这样的顶级球队,也输给了格拉纳达。在最后一轮,巴利亚多主场对阵加的斯的战绩为1:1,但他们应该赢得胜利,因为他们打出了很高的水准。

如果巴利亚多继续保持上一场比赛的水平,并具有强大的动力,他们应该可以从今天的比赛中得到一些优势。

In my opinion Valladolid have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Currently Valladolid have very good streak against Bilbao as they lost only once in last 6 matches (they didn't lost in 10 of last 15 matches against them). First match of the season between both teams finished with Valladolid 2:1 home win.

Main reason for my bet is motivation. It's only 6 rounds left till end of the season and basically Bilbao since now will play for nothing. They are too far away from European Cups spot, but as well they have safe gap over relegation zone. On the other hand Valladolid is in relegation zone, one point behind safe place and for them this is extremely important match - if they win today they will jump out of the fire. For sure motivation is on the highest possible level.

Bilbao is not in great form as they won only once in last 9 matches. They won luckily against Atletico at home by very late goal scored by Martinez. That wasn't deserved result at all. On the other hand I see some good consistency in Valladolid results as they didn't lost in 7 of last 10 matches. In the process they lost only against top teams like Barcelona and Real and against Granada (played in Europa League QF). In last round Valladolid recorded 1:1 draw at home against Cadiz, but they should win as they played on really high level - expected goals scored for Valladolid 2.94, for Cadiz 1.13.

If Valladolid continue to play on level from last match, together with strong motivation they should be able to get something from today's match.

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