In my opinion Braga have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like great option to play.

Last round in this group stage. Napoli needs one point to get qualification into next round, Braga needs 3 points. It's good situation for our bet.

First match between both teams finished with Napoli win 2:1, but that was very close game: expected goals scored for Braga 1.41, for Napoli 1.70. Unlucky loss for Braga as they conceded own goal in 88'.

Is very hard to trust for Napoli at the moment. They lost 4 of last 5 matches in all competitions. I see problems at both ends of the pitch - Napoli conceded 8 goals in last 3 matches, no stability or consistency at the back. Today they are without two important defenders - Olivera and Rui. Napoli also have problems with finishing product - they failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches. In addition to that their best player in current season (according to the ratings) Kvaratskhelia is probably out because of virus. It's huge blow as he is team third-best scorer and second-best assistant.

Braga coming here in great form - went unbeaten in last 5 matches and recorded 4 wins during that run. Their confidence is on very high level and they don't have nothing to lose. All pressure is Napoli players shoulders. Braga don't have any problems with goalscoring at the moment - they scored more than two goals in last two league matches and they should be able to make big troubles for Napoli defensive formation today.

On those circumstances I see great value on away side.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

在我看来，布拉加有很好的机会在这场比赛中避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

小组赛最后一轮。那不勒斯需要1分就能晋级下一轮，布拉加需要3分。这对我们打赌很有利。

两队的第一场比赛以那不勒斯2:1取胜告终，但这是一场非常接近的比赛:布拉加的预期进球数为1.41，那不勒斯的预期进球数为1.70。布拉加输了一场不幸的比赛，他们在1988年丢了一个乌龙球。

现在对那不勒斯来说很难信任。最近5场比赛他们输了4场。我看到了球场两端的问题——那不勒斯在最近3场比赛中丢了8球，后防线缺乏稳定性和稳定性。今天他们缺少两名重要的后卫——奥利维拉和鲁伊。那不勒斯在进球方面也有问题，他们在最近的5场比赛中有3场没有进球。除此之外，他们本赛季最好的球员(根据收视率)克瓦拉茨基利亚可能因为病毒而缺阵。这是一个巨大的打击，因为他是球队第三最佳得分手和第二最佳助手。

布拉加的状态很好，在最近的5场比赛中保持不败，并取得了4场胜利。他们的信心非常高，他们没有什么可失去的。所有的压力都落在了那不勒斯球员的肩上。布拉加目前在进球方面没有任何问题——他们在最近两场联赛中都进了两个以上的球，他们今天应该能够给那不勒斯的防守阵型制造很大的麻烦。

在这种情况下，我认为客场有很大的价值。

12月13日那不勒斯 VS 布拉加比赛分析直播