GRANADA - ATHLETIC BILBAO

No idea how Granada can avoid defeat here.

Granada is one of the worst teams in the league, just one above the bottom with a record of 1/4/10 and 35 goals conceded. Their defense simply doesn't have the level for the first division, making huge mistakes and conceding a lot of goals.

I see them winning only 5-7 games this season, and they are the main relegation contenders along with Almeria. Both teams lack quality, have terrible defenses, and their motivation is too low.

They have tried changing the coach, but the new one started the new era with a 2:0 defeat against Real Madrid, showing another poor performance.

We also need to add that the club has sold their best player Bryan Zaragoza to Bayern Munich. However, he’ll stay in the team until the summer transfer market, but as you can imagine, his motivation with this team will be too low, trying to avoid injuries.

Athletic Bilbao is the main reason for this pick. They are one of the most in-form teams in the league, creating tons of chances and scoring a lot of goals. Their strikers and attackers are in very good form, and the team is full of confidence.

They have generated 26.4 expected goals this season (4th highest in the league) and scored 30 in 15 games. This has two positive notes: they are generating a lot and also scoring. Players like the Williams Brothers are in great form, both in dribbling and finishing, and have been generating plenty of goals for the team lately. Nico Williams has three assists and two goals in the last five games, while Iñaki Williams has three goals and one assist in the same period.

Last weekend, they beat Rayo Vallecano 4:0 and now are 5th in the table, unbeaten since Barcelona’s game in October (1:0). The coach of Girona (who is 2nd with the same points as leaders Madrid) already struggled a lot in the game against Athletic, where they drew 1:1 and said that Athletic was the best team that played in their stadium this season so far.

At the moment, Athletic is an offensive machine, and this isn’t a good deal for a terrible defense like Granada. I see Athletic here scoring at least 2 or 3 goals in this match, and in this situation, it will be very difficult for Granada to avoid defeat. Granada’s new coach will need more time to achieve results, something that, seeing the squad, looks very difficult.

VALERENGA - KRISTIANSUND

Eliteserien playoffs final, second leg.

Valerenga dominated the first match of the playoff, comfortably winning 2-0. They outshot Kristiansund 18 to 3 and completely dominated the contest with 66% possession.

It has been a poor season for Valerenga, who finished 14th in the league, but on paper they have one of the best squads in the Eliteserien which has plenty of quality. There were doubts surrounding the mentality of this team, but they showed in midweek that they have what it takes to survive. They don’t need to win this second leg but are deserving favourites.

Kristiansund were outplayed in midweek and must produce a significantly better performance to have any chance of turning around a 0-2 deficit. It is going to be difficult because they looked tired after a tough run of games. Maybe they will prefer being away from home, but it was worrying how easily they allowed Valerenga to control the game. Captain Dan Peter Ulvestad missed the first match due to injury and without him they looked poor defensively.

After being relegated two seasons ago, they finished 4th in the Obos-Ligaen (2nd division), far from the promotion zone/TOP2 (8 points below). They also struggled in the promotion playoffs, as they had to beat Bryne in semifinals in penalties and against Kongsvinger in the final was an equal match.

Valerenga had the worst home record in the Eliteserien with just 2 victories out of 15 at home this season. They don’t have to win this game now, and a draw or a one goal defeat would be fine for them. But they are a significantly better team. Kristiansund will have to take more risks and open more space, so I think Valerenga can secure survival with another victory. They will find spaces and facilities to create chances and given their quality, should score some goals here and avoid risks.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

格拉纳达-毕尔巴鄂竞技队

不知道格拉纳达怎么能在这里避免失败。

格拉纳达是联赛中表现最差的球队之一，仅以1/4/10的战绩和35个失球排名倒数第一。他们的防守根本没有甲级联赛的水平，犯了很多错误，丢了很多球。

我看到他们本赛季只赢了5-7场，他们和阿尔梅里亚是主要的保级竞争者。两支球队都缺乏质量，防守很糟糕，而且他们的动力太低。

他们曾尝试换帅，但新教练以2:0输给皇马开启了新时代，表现再次糟糕。

我们还需要补充的是，俱乐部已经把他们最好的球员萨拉戈萨卖给了拜仁慕尼黑。然而，他将留在球队直到夏季转会市场，但你可以想象，他在这支球队的动力将会太低，试图避免受伤。

毕尔巴鄂竞技是这次选秀的主要原因。他们是联赛中状态最好的球队之一，创造了大量的机会，也进了很多球。他们的前锋和攻击手状态都很好，全队充满了信心。

本赛季他们创造了26.4个预期进球(联赛第四)，15场比赛打进30球。这有两个积极的方面:他们创造了很多机会，也取得了进球。像威廉姆斯兄弟这样的球员状态很好，无论是盘带还是射门，最近都为球队创造了很多进球。尼科·威廉姆斯在最近5场比赛中有3次助攻和2个进球，而Iñaki威廉姆斯在同一时期有3个进球和1次助攻。

上周末，他们4:0击败巴列卡诺，目前排名第五，自10月份与巴萨的比赛(1:0)以来保持不败。赫罗纳(与领头羊马德里以同样的积分排名第二)的教练在与竞技的比赛中已经表现得很糟糕，他们1:1战平，他说竞技是本赛季迄今为止在他们的球场打过的最好的球队。

目前，竞技是一个进攻机器，对于格拉纳达这样糟糕的防守来说，这不是一个好交易。我看到竞技在这场比赛中至少进2到3个球，在这种情况下，格拉纳达很难避免失败。格拉纳达的新教练需要更多的时间来取得成绩，从球队的情况来看，这看起来非常困难。

瓦勒伦加-克里斯蒂安桑德

精英队季后赛决赛，第二回合。

瓦伦加在季后赛的第一场比赛中占据主导地位，以2-0轻松获胜。他们以18比3的命中率击败了克里斯蒂安桑德，并以66%的控球率完全控制了比赛。

对于瓦伦加来说，这是一个糟糕的赛季，他们在联赛中排名第14位，但从纸面上看，他们拥有一支实力雄厚的精英球队。有人怀疑这支球队的心态，但他们在周中证明了他们有生存下去的能力。他们不需要赢得次回合，但他们是当之无愧的夺冠热门。

克里斯蒂安桑德在周中被击败，他们必须拿出更好的表现，才有机会扭转0-2的落后。这将会很困难，因为他们在一场艰苦的比赛后看起来很疲惫。也许他们更喜欢远离家乡，但令人担忧的是，他们让瓦勒伦加如此轻易地控制了比赛。队长丹·彼得·乌尔维斯塔德因伤缺席了第一场比赛，没有他，球队的防守看起来很糟糕。

在2个赛季前降级后，他们在奥博斯-利加恩(第2级)排名第4，距离升级区/TOP2(低8分)很远。他们在晋级季后赛中也表现不佳，在半决赛中他们不得不在点球大战中击败布莱恩，在决赛中对阵孔斯温格是一场平局。

瓦勒伦加是精英队主场战绩最差的球员，本赛季15场比赛中只有2场在主场取胜。他们现在不需要赢得这场比赛，一场平局或一球失利对他们来说都是可以接受的。但他们是一支出色得多的球队。克里斯蒂安桑德将不得不承担更多的风险，打开更多的空间，所以我认为瓦伦伦加可以通过另一场胜利来确保生存。他们会找到空间和设施来创造机会，考虑到他们的实力，他们应该在这里进球，避免风险。

12月11日瓦勒伦加 VS 克里斯蒂比赛分析直播

12月10日格拉纳达 VS 毕尔巴鄂比赛分析直播