In my opinion Leeds have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

It's not typical away game for Leeds because there is only one 1h drive by car between both stadiums. It's not long distance and this is great advantage for guests.

Leeds at the moment is in great form - they won 5 of last 6 matches (in 4 of those matches scored more than one goal) and wants to go with momentum. Guests looking for automatic promotion and there is no room for error as they are 7 points behind Ipswich and 8 points behind Leicester. I expect high quality performance because today we will see on the pitch the strongest possible line up.

Blackburn is really up and down. 2 wins and 2 losses in last 4 matches. I don't trust for their defensive formation at the moment as they conceded more than one goal in 3 of last 4 matches. Blackburn today without 5 players which played at least 8 matches in current season: Pears, Hyam, Rankin-Costello, Hedges and Dolan. That should have very bad impact on their performance today.

If You look on the bigger picture, there is big difference between both teams in terms of quality. According to the expected goals scored model Leeds is the best team in Championship, according to the expected goals conceded model they are second-best in Championship. On the other hand Blackburn is 6th in expected goals scored, but only 17th in expected goals conceded. It's huge difference and that should visible on the pitch.

Leeds firepower should be simply too big to handle for Blackburn shaky defensive formation.

我认为利兹在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

对利兹来说，这不是一场典型的客场比赛，因为两个球场之间只有1小时的车程。距离不长，这对客人来说是很大的优势。

利兹联目前的状态很好——他们在最近的6场比赛中赢了5场(其中4场比赛进了不止一个球)，他们想要带着势头走下去。客人期待自动升级，没有犯错的余地，因为他们落后伊普斯维奇7分，落后莱斯特8分。我期待着高质量的表现，因为今天我们将在球场上看到最强的阵容。

布莱克本真是上上下下。最近4场2胜2负。我不相信他们现在的防守阵型，因为他们在最近4场比赛中有3场丢了一个以上的球。布莱克本今天没有5名本赛季至少打了8场比赛的球员:皮尔斯、海姆、兰金-科斯特洛、赫奇斯和多兰。这将对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

如果你从更大的角度来看，两支球队在质量上有很大的不同。根据预期进球模型利兹联是英冠最好的球队，根据预期失球模型利兹联是英冠第二好的球队。另一方面，布莱克本在预期进球数上排名第6，但在预期失球数上仅排名第17。这是一个巨大的差异，这应该在球场上可以看到。

利兹联的火力对于布莱克本摇摇欲坠的防守阵型来说太大了。