在我看来，法伦斯在今天的比赛中有赢得3分的极好机会。

开盘价导致亚洲市场的赔率下降了0.20，我完全同意这一趋势。我希望在开始之前会有更大的跌幅。

这两支球队今天都没有新缺席，因此他们的阵容看起来应该和上一轮比赛一样。

对于主队来说，这是极其重要的比赛。他们在降级区，季后赛落后3分，安全席位落后5分。只剩6轮比赛了，所以他们今天确实需要3分。动力肯定在最高一档。另一方面，波尔蒂芒位居第11位非常安全，这对他们来说不是“必须赢”的比赛。

同样，两支球队的士气完全不同。 法伦斯充满信心地来到这里，在上回合对阵帕克斯的比赛中他们以2：0获胜，这是当之无愧的！可以肯定的是，他们希望今天与时俱进。另一方面，波尔蒂芒的心情非常不好。在最后一轮中，他们在主场对阵本菲卡的比赛中1：5输了。

尽管效果不佳，但法伦斯在预期目标模型中看起来很可靠。在14场主场比赛中，他们应得17.12和17.54。 波尔蒂芒是整个联盟中客场战绩最差的球队之一, 在14场比赛中9次失利。预期进球数为13.78，而预期进球数则为18.52。

我相信这是法伦斯的绝佳机会。

In my opinion Farense have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.20 on Asian markets from opening lines and I fully agree with that trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.

Both teams without any new absences today so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

This is extremely important match for hosts. They are in relegation zone, 3 points behind play off spot and 5 points behind safe place. Only 6 rounds left, so they really needs 3 points today. Motivation for sure is on the highest possible level. On the other hand Portimonense is on pretty safe 11th place and this is not 'must win' match for them.

As well morale is completely different in both teams. Farense coming here full of confidence, in last round they won 2:0 on away against Pacos and that was fully deserved result - expected goals scored for Pacos 0.19, for Farense 2.50! For sure they wants to go with momentum today. On the other Portimonense coming here in very bad mood. In last round they lost 1:5 at home against Benfica..

Despite poor results, Farense looks solid at home in expected goals model. In 14 home matches they should score 17.12 and concede 17.54. Portimonense is one of the worst away team in whole league - 9 losses in 14 matches. Expected goals scored 13.78, expected goals conceded 18.52.

I believe this is perfect opportunity for Farense.