13/11 in my last MLS bets 美职足 洛杉矶FCVS休斯敦
2023-12-02
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Houston have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their lines. +1 or +1.5 AH on Houston looks like great option to play.
Houston have big mental advantage before this game because they won in last two matches in a row against Los Angeles (in both matches kept clean sheet). Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with Houston 1:0 win.
Los Angeles won last two matches by the same scoreline – 1:0 (against Vancouver and Seattle), but in both matches their performance was far away from the best. Los Angeles won against Vancouver by goal from penalty kick and in that game they had lower expected goals scored number than opponents (0.60 excluding penalty kick). Los Angeles looked even worse against Seattle. They won, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Seattle 1.30 (69% ball possession), for Los Angeles 0.41. Los Angeles at the moment have problems with creativity.
Houston coming for this game full of confidence, in last match they won 1:0 against Kansas and that was fully deserved result as they had higher expected goals scored number, more shots and 64% ball possession. Houston defensive formation have a lot of stability and consistency. In last 4 matches Houston had only 0.39, 0.81, 0.65 and 0.87 expected goals conceded. They have all required tools at the back to stop Los Angeles today.
On those circumstances +1 or +1.5 AH looks excellent, for me is hard to see more than one goal for Los Angeles.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
在我看来,休斯敦有更大的机会避免损失比赌徒想要我们在他们的路线。在休斯顿+1或+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。
休斯顿在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势,因为他们在最近两场比赛中都赢了洛杉矶(两场比赛都没有失球)。两队在这个体育场的上一场比赛以休斯顿1:0获胜告终。
洛杉矶在上两场比赛中都以1:0的比分获胜(分别对阵温哥华和西雅图),但在这两场比赛中,他们的表现都远未达到最佳水平。洛杉矶以点球战胜温哥华,在那场比赛中,他们的预期进球数比对手低(0.60个,不包括点球)。洛杉矶在对阵西雅图的比赛中看起来更糟糕。他们赢了,但这根本不是他们应得的结果:西雅图的预期进球数为1.30(控球率为69%),洛杉矶为0.41。洛杉矶目前在创造力方面存在问题。
休斯顿对这场比赛充满信心,在上一场比赛中他们1:0战胜了堪萨斯,这是他们应得的结果,因为他们有更高的预期进球数,更多的射门和64%的控球率。火箭的防守阵型有很多稳定性和一致性。在过去的4场比赛中,火箭的预期失球数分别为0.39、0.81、0.65和0.87。他们在后场有必要的工具来阻止今天的洛杉矶队。
在这些情况下+1或+1.5 AH看起来很好,对我来说很难看到洛杉矶超过一个进球。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。
