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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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2023-11-24

比赛分析

德乙

已完赛

星期六2023-11-25 01:30

解读理由

In my opinion Hertha have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


Hertha currently have good streak against Hannover as they didn’t lost against them in last 4 consecutive matches and recorded 2 wins in a row on away.


Hannover at the moment is on 4th position in league table, 8 spots above Hertha (5 points difference), but if You look deeper Hertha is not worse team. According to the expected goals scored table they are second-best team in Bundesliga 2!


So far this month Hertha looks very good. They recorded excellent 3:0 win at home in DFB Pokal against Mainz from Bundesliga 1. After that Hertha played two league, both finished with draw (against Hansa on away and against Karlsruhe at home), but they should make more points – in both matches they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents. Hertha don’t have any new absences and their line up should look exactly the same line in previous round.


Hannover lost on the road against Schalke after that they recorded comfortable win at home against poor Braunschweig (relegation zone). In last round they played on the road against St. Pauli. Match finished with draw 0:0, but that was very poor performance from Hannover – they finished with only 0.13 expected goals scored.


Hannover have serious squad problems before this game. Their top scorer Teuchert (8 goals) is unavailable, same as key midfielder Besuschkow. Key right back Dehm is doubtful for this game. That should have very bad impact on hosts performance.


On those circumstances I see really good value for Hertha to avoid loss in this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,赫塔有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


赫塔目前在对阵汉诺威的比赛中取得了不错的成绩,他们在过去的4场比赛中没有输掉比赛,并且在客场取得了2连胜。


汉诺威目前在联赛中排名第四,比赫塔高出8个名次(相差5分),但如果你看得更深入,赫塔并不差。根据预期进球数,他们是德甲第二好的球队!


到目前为止,这个月赫塔看起来很好。他们在主场3:0战胜了德甲的美因茨。在那之后赫塔打了两场联赛,都以平局结束(客场对阵汉萨,主场对阵卡尔斯鲁厄),但他们应该得到更多的积分——在这两场比赛中,他们的预期进球数都高于对手。赫塔没有任何新的缺阵,他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。


汉诺威在客场输给沙尔克之后,又在主场轻松战胜了不伦瑞克(降级区)。上一轮他们在客场对阵圣保利。比赛以0:0结束,但这是汉诺威非常糟糕的表现——他们只打进了0.13个预期进球。


汉诺威在本场比赛前有严重的阵容问题。他们的头号射手图歇尔特(8球)无法上场,中场核心贝苏希科夫也无法上场。关键的右后卫德姆能否参加这场比赛尚存疑问。这会对主机的性能产生非常坏的影响。


在这种情况下,我认为赫塔在这场比赛中避免输球是很有价值的。

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